The Wildcats and Hornets are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Hornets will host the game at The Hornets Nest in Sacramento, CA. The Wildcats are favored in this Big Sky conference showdown. The game's over/under is currently at 135.5 points.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +9

This game will be played at The Hornets Nest at 9:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Not only will Sacramento State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will the Wildcats Win on the Road?

Through 15 games, Weber State has an 11-4 record. They are currently on a five-game win streak and have gone 2-0 in Big Sky Conference play. So far, they have gone 9-4 in non-conference games compared to their 2-0 conference record.

On the road, the Wildcats have gone 3-3 this season. Their average scoring margin is -2.2 points per game, and they have won two straight games away from home. Overall, Weber State has gone 5-2 when favored this season.

So far this season, Weber State has an ATS record of 7-5. On the road, they are 3-3 vs. the spread. In their last 3 road games, they have gone 2-1 ATS. As the favorite, the Wildcats have gone 4-3 vs. the spread this year. In their last 3 games as the favorite, they are 2-1 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Weber State games is 6-5-1, and today's over/under line of 135.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (135.4). So far, six of their games have finished with more points than today's line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 152 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Weber State's offense scored 83 points against Oral Roberts. Their field goal percentage for the game was 55.8%, and they went 19/23 from the free-throw line. In terms of offense, the Wildcats have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 98th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 56th in percentage and 97th in three-pointers made.

The Wildcats' defense is presently ranked 13th nationally, allowing an average of 61.9 points per contest. Against Oral Roberts, the Wildcats' defense gave up 78 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Oral Roberts only made 8 free-throws.

Can the Hornets Hold Strong at Home?

Through 15 games, Sacramento State has an overall record of 4-11, including a 0-2 mark in Big Sky Conference play. They have struggled on the road this season, posting a record of 1-7 and an average scoring margin of -14.1 points per game.

As the underdog, the Hornets have gone 1-8 this season, and they enter this game having lost four straight games away from home. Their most recent game was a 63-50 loss to St. Thomas (MN).

As the underdog this season, Sacramento State has gone just 2-6-1 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 3-9-1. At home, the Hornets are just 1-4 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 ATS mark as the underdog is 2-7-1. Over their last three home games, Sacramento State is 1-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Sacramento State games sits at 6-7, and today's line of 135.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (140.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points, and in their last 10 games, the average is 134 points. This season, 10 of their games have had higher OU lines than today's total of 135.5.

Against St. Thomas (MN), the Sacramento State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 70.2 points per game. They scored 50 points and posted a field goal percentage of 42.9% in the game. Leading the team in scoring was Duncan Powell with 16 points. Jacob Holt also added 10 points for the Hornets.

So far, the Hornets' defense is ranked 176th in the country at 72.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. St. Thomas (MN), the Tommies finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 63 points vs. Sacramento State.