Looking to win big? The Lumberjacks and Bobcats face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bobcats are hosting the game at Brick Breeden Fieldhouse in Bozeman, MT. The over/under for this game is set at 143 points, and the Bobcats are the home favorites against the Lumberjacks in a Big Sky conference matchup.


The Pick: Montana State Bobcats -3.5

This game will be played at Brick Breeden Fieldhouse at 9:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bobcats.
  • Not only will Montana State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Northern Arizona Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Through 15 games, Northern Arizona has a record of 7-8, including a 0-1 mark in Big Sky action. As the underdog, the Lumberjacks are 2-8, and they are 4-8 on the road this season.

Coming off a 74-73 win over North Dakota, Northern Arizona has gone 2-3 in its last five road games. Over their last 10 road contests, the Lumberjacks have gone 4-6.

As the underdog this season, Northern Arizona has gone 4-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Lumberjacks have an ATS mark of 4-6. On the road this year, they are 5-7 vs. the spread and have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three road games.

This season, the over/under record for Northern Arizona is 6-9, and today's line of 143 is lower than the average over/under line of 145.5 in their games. So far, 10 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today's number. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points.

The Northern Arizona offense is coming off a game where they scored 74 points against North Dakota. They posted a field goal percentage of 42.9% and connected on 9 threes. The team's top scorer is Trenton McLaughlin, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 15.3, while Oakland Fort also maintains a PPG average of 9.7 leading up to the game.

Coming into today's game, the Northern Arizona defense is giving up an average of 76.7 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.7 threes per game vs. Montana State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.8%.

Will Montana State Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Montana State is 6-9 overall and 1-1 in Big Sky play. They have lost three straight games, including an 89-61 defeat to South Dakota State. The Bobcats are 2-3 at home this season and 2-1 in their last three games at home.

For the year, Montana State has been an underdog in eight of their 15 games, going 2-6 in those contests. They have been favored in four games, posting a 2-2 record.

Montana State has been a poor bet this season, going just 3-9 against the spread. They are 0-5 vs. the spread at home this year and have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the favorite. Their last 3 home games vs. the spread have all been losses.

This season, the over/under record in Montana State games is 7-5 and the average scoring total is 143.6 points. Today's over/under line of 143 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (141.8). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 152 points.

The Montana State offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 61 points versus South Dakota State. During the game, they attempted 31 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 37.5%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Brian Goracke who comes into today's matchup averaging 15.7. Robert Ford also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.3.

Currently, the Bobcats' defense holds the 222nd rank in the nation, allowing 74.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. South Dakota State, the Jackrabbits finished with a field goal percentage of 69% and a total of 89 points vs. Montana State.