Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 11/3/24

Washington is favored on the road with their money line at -185, and the Giants at +155 as the underdog. The Giants and Commanders will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Giants are +3.5 point underdogs, and the over/under line is set at 43.5 points. You can watch this week nine NFC East matchup on FOX.

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS VS NEW YORK GIANTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Giants +3.5

This game will be played at MetLife Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK GIANTS:

  • We have the Giants winning this one by a score of 25 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Giants winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 43.5 points

Will The Commanders Win As Road Favorites?

Heading into week 9, the Commanders sit atop the NFC East with a 6-2 record, including a two-game winning streak. After a week 6 loss to the Ravens, Washington bounced back with wins over the Panthers (40-7) and Bears (18-15) in weeks 7 and 8, respectively. Against Chicago, they narrowly covered the 1.5-point spread, improving their ATS record to 6-1-1 this season. The Commanders rank 8th in our NFL power rankings and have an average scoring margin of +8.6 points per game.

We currently give Washington an 83.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 45.6% chance of winning the NFC East. In their O/U matchups, they have a 5-3 record, with the under hitting in their last two games. Their contests have averaged 50.4 points, compared to an average line of 46.4.

Heading into week 9, the Commanders are 3rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 29.5. They are also 3rd in the league in passing yards per game (396.2) and 9th in passing yards per game (230.5), despite ranking 22nd in passing attempts. On the ground, Washington ranks 5th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game, with 165.8. They are 4th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage, converting 46.4% of their attempts.

Jayden Daniels threw for 326 yards and a touchdown in week 8, completing 21 of 38 passes. Terry McLaurin led the team with 5 catches for 125 yards, while Brian Robinson Jr. had 65 rushing yards on 16 carries. Washington scored 6 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters against the Bears but failed to convert in the red zone, going 0-3.

The Commanders’ defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as they allowed the Bears to convert just 16.7% of their third down attempts. Despite giving up 196 rushing yards on 34 attempts, Washington held Chicago to 15 points and just 111 yards passing. The Bears finished with 307 yards of total offense.

Washington allowed only 10 completions on 24 attempts (41.7%) and didn’t give up any passing touchdowns. They also recorded two sacks in the game, but Chicago was able to outgain them in tackles for loss.

Are The Giants Going Win In At Upset At MetLife Stadium

The Giants head into week 9 against the Commanders looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 26-18 road loss to the Steelers in week 8. This puts New York at 2-6, leaving them 4th in the NFC East and 15th in the conference. They are 0-4 at home but have gone 2-2 on the road.

Our projections give the Giants a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs, and they rank 29th in our power rankings. So far, they are 3-5 against the spread and have been underdogs in all of their games. Their O/U record is 2-6, with their games averaging 36.5 points compared to an average line of 42.

Heading into week 9, the Giants’ offense ranks 25th in our power rankings, averaging 14.6 points per game, which is 30th in the NFL. They are 25th in the league in total yards, with 303.6 per game, and they rank 23rd in 3rd-down conversion rate (34.5%). Despite being 22nd in passing yards, New York ranks 5th in pass attempts per game. They are 24th in rushing yards, averaging 108.5 per game.

In week 8, Daniel Jones threw for 264 yards on 24/38 passing, but he didn’t have a touchdown and threw an interception. He was sacked 4 times. Tyrone Tracy Jr. rushed for 145 yards on 20 carries, and Darius Slayton led the team with 108 receiving yards on 4 catches.

In their 26-18 loss to the Steelers, the Giants’ defense gave up 426 yards. They struggled against the run, allowing 167 yards on 31 attempts, with Pittsburgh averaging 5.4 yards per attempt. The Giants’ pass defense gave up 259 yards, and the Steelers had a yards per attempt of 9.2.

Despite allowing a completion percentage of 71.4%, the Giants’ defense managed to sack the quarterback four times. On third downs, the Giants allowed the Steelers to convert 46.2% of their chances.