Los Angeles Chargers vs Cleveland Browns Betting Pick & Prediction 11/3/24
The Chargers are favored on the road with a money line of -126 as they take on the Browns at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. The Browns’ money line odds are +106, and the point spread is -2 in favor of the Chargers. This week nine AFC matchup is being televised on CBS, with the over/under line set at 42 points.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS CLEVELAND BROWNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Browns +2
This game will be played at Huntington Bank Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd.
WHY BET THE CLEVELAND BROWNS:
- We have the Browns winning this one by a score of 27 to 22
- Not only do we have the Browns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2
- Look for this game to go over the line of 42 points
Will The Chargers Pick Up A Win On The Road?
After a week 7 loss to the Cardinals, the Chargers bounced back in week 8 with a 26-8 win over the Saints, improving their record to 4-3. Los Angeles entered the game as 7.5-point favorites and covered the spread with an 18-point victory. The combined scoring fell short of the 41.5-point line, marking the Chargers’ second straight under.
Heading into week 9, the Chargers rank 20th in our NFL power rankings and have a 60.4% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4-2-1 against the spread this season, including a 4-1 record as favorites. Their O/U record stands at 1-6, with their games averaging 31.9 points compared to a line of 39.9.
Heading into week 9, the Chargers rank 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.9, and 22nd in yards per game, with 311.1. They are 23rd in passing attempts and passing yards, averaging 194 yards per game. On the ground, they rank 10th in rushing attempts and 20th in rushing yards per game. Los Angeles has been strong in the red zone, converting 93.8% of their trips, which ranks 2nd in the league.
Justin Herbert is coming off a 279-yard performance in week 8, completing 20 of 32 passes with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions. He has been sacked 3 times in each of the last 3 games. J.K. Dobbins had 17 carries for 57 yards and a touchdown in week 8, while Ladd McConkey led the team with 6 catches for 111 yards and 2 touchdowns.
In their 26-8 win over the Saints, the Chargers’ defense was dominant, allowing just 8 points and holding New Orleans to a 12.5% conversion rate on third down. The Chargers’ secondary was particularly strong, limiting the Saints to 249 passing yards on 22 completions. They also didn’t allow a passing touchdown and held New Orleans to a 52.4% completion rate. The Chargers’ defense also came away with 5 sacks in the game.
The Chargers did give up 117 rushing yards on 21 attempts, but overall, their defensive effort was excellent, holding the Saints to just 8 points and making life difficult for them on third down.
Will The Browns Win At Home Over The Chargers?
Heading into week 9, the Browns sit 17th in our power rankings and have an 8.3% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2-6 overall, including a 1-1 record in the AFC North. Cleveland is 1-3 both at home and on the road.
Against the spread, the Browns are 3-5, with all three of their wins coming as underdogs. In week 8, they covered the spread as 7-point underdogs in a 29-24 win over the Ravens, snapping a four-game losing streak. The combined 53 points in that game went over the 44.5-point line, bringing Cleveland’s O/U record to 3-5.
Heading into week 9, the Browns are 30th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 27th in the NFL in points per game (17.2) and 30th in yards per game (272.2). Despite being 3rd in passing attempts per game, they are 28th in passing yards, with 179.8 per game. On the ground, Cleveland ranks 22nd in rushing attempts and 27th in rushing yards, averaging 92.5 per game. They are 29th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage.
Jameis Winston took over at quarterback in week 8, throwing for 334 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Ravens. Cedric Tillman had 7 catches for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Nick Chubb rushed for 52 yards on 16 carries. Cleveland scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter and 9 in the 4th.
Despite giving up 124 rushing yards on just 21 attempts, the Browns’ defense held the Ravens to a 20% third-down conversion rate in their 29-24 win. Baltimore finished with 263 passing yards on 23 completions, averaging 6.9 yards per attempt, and scored two passing touchdowns. Cleveland allowed 387 total yards in the game.
The Browns’ defense also recorded three sacks in the game and won the tackles for loss battle by one. Additionally, they limited the Ravens to a 60.5% completion percentage on their passes.