New England Patriots vs Tennessee Titans Betting Pick & Prediction 11/3/24
FOX will broadcast the week nine AFC matchup between the Patriots and Titans at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. The game, being played at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN, has the Titans favored at -3.5 on the point spread and -179 on the money line. New England’s money line odds are +150, and the over/under line is set at 38 points.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS TENNESSEE TITANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New England Patriots +3.5
This game will be played at Nissan Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd.
WHY BET THE NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS:
- We have the Patriots winning this one by a score of 22 to 18
- Not only do we have the Patriots winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 38 points
Will The Patriots Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
After six straight losses, the Patriots finally got back in the win column in week 8, defeating the Jets 25-22. New England entered the game as 7-point underdogs but managed to pull off the upset, improving their record to 2-6. The combined 47 points in the game went over the 41-point line, marking the Patriots’ third straight over.
Heading into week 9, the Patriots rank 31st in our power rankings and have just a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2-5-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -9.1 points per game.
Heading into week 9, the Patriots rank 26th in our offensive power rankings. They are 29th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 15.5, and 31st in both passing yards (149.9) and total yards (260.9) per game. New England ranks 18th in passing attempts and 19th in rushing attempts, with an average of 111 rushing yards per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. On 3rd down, they are 22nd in the NFL, converting 35.1% of their attempts, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 5th in conversion percentage.
In week 8, the Patriots scored 11 points in the 4th quarter of their 25-22 win over the Jets. Jacoby Brissett threw for 132 yards on 15/24 passing, while Rhamondre Stevenson led the team with 48 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 20 carries. Kayshon Boutte was the leading receiver with 46 yards on 3 catches. Before week 8, Drake Maye had thrown for 276 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 7 and 243 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 6.
Despite allowing 224 passing yards, the Patriots’ defense held the Jets to 17 completions on 28 attempts in their most recent game, which New England won 25-22. The Patriots gave up 112 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns, with the Jets averaging 4.0 yards per attempt on the ground. On third down, the Patriots allowed the Jets to convert 40% of their chances.
New England’s defense managed just one sack in the game and allowed two passing touchdowns. The Patriots also had a -3 differential in tackles for loss but did win the quarterback hit battle with +1.
Are The Titans Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Heading into week 9, the Titans are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 52-14 loss to the Lions in week 8. This dropped Tennessee’s record to 1-6, placing them 30th in our power rankings and giving them just a 1.7% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 4th in the AFC South and are 0-1 in division play.
The Titans are 1-6 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -10.9 points per game. Their O/U record stands at 4-2-1, with the over hitting in their last two games.
Heading into week 9, the Titans rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 28th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.1, and 29th in yards per game with 281.6. Tennessee is 17th in passing attempts but 30th in passing yards, averaging 161.9 per game. On the ground, they rank 15th in rushing attempts and 17th in rushing yards per game, with 119.7. The Titans have struggled on third down, converting just 30.6% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 60% of their opportunities, ranking 8th in the NFL.
Mason Rudolph threw for 266 yards in week 8, completing 22 of 38 passes with one touchdown and two interceptions. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing with 94 yards on 20 carries, while Calvin Ridley had 10 catches for 143 yards. The Titans scored 14 points in the first half against the Lions but were shut out in the second half. They converted 27.3% of their third-down attempts and went 2/4 in the red zone.
In their most recent game, the Titans’ defense gave up 52 points in a blowout loss to the Lions. Despite getting four sacks and holding the Lions to 225 yards, the Titans really struggled to stop the run, giving up 164 yards on just 24 attempts. The Titans’ secondary was torched for 4 passing touchdowns, as the Lions completed 78.9% of their passes for 61 yards.
Tennessee’s defense did manage to get off the field on third downs, allowing the Lions to convert just 33.3% of their third down attempts. However, the Titans allowed big plays in the passing game and couldn’t stop the run, leading to a lopsided defeat.