Looking to win big? The Cavaliers and Tigers face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN. The Tigers are hosting the game at Littlejohn Coliseum in Clemson, SC. The over/under for this Atlantic Coast conference contest is set at 127.5 points, with Clemson being favored by -4.5 at home against Virginia.


The Pick: Clemson Tigers -4.5

This game will be played at Littlejohn Coliseum at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Not only will Clemson pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 127.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can the Cavaliers Pull the Upset on the Road?

Virginia comes into this game with a 16-5 overall record and a five-game win streak. The Cavaliers are 7-3 in Atlantic Coast Conference play and 9-2 in non-conference games. On the road, they are just 2-5 this season, but they have won two straight away from home.

Overall, Virginia has been the favorite in 17 of its 21 games, going 15-2 in those contests. As the underdog, the Cavaliers have gone 1-3. In their last game, they defeated Notre Dame, 65-53, and they are 2-1 in their last three road games.

As the underdog, Virginia has struggled against the spread this season, going just 1-3. Their overall ATS mark is 11-9-1, but they have gone just 2-5 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Cavaliers have an ATS mark of 3-7.

Virginia's over/under record for the season is currently 9-12. So far, their games have averaged 122.8 points compared to an average over/under line of 126.7, resulting in an average margin of -3.9 points. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 116 points and their OU record during this span is 1-2. For the year, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today's over/under line of 127.5.

In their previous game, the Cavaliers' offense finished with 65 points, which is right in line with their current average of 65.3 points per contest. For the season, the Virginia offense has struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking just 349th in terms of free-throw attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 44%.

In the current season, the Virginia defense has excelled, sitting 2nd in the nation by allowing 57.4 points per game. Against Notre Dame, the Cavaliers' defense gave up 53 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Notre Dame only made 4 free-throws.

Can Clemson Pull Off a Home Win?

Through 20 games, Clemson has been the favorite in 15 contests and has gone 11-4 in those matchups. At home, the Tigers are 10-2 this season, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at Littlejohn Coliseum.

Coming off a 70-64 win over Louisville, Clemson is 14-6 overall and 4-5 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. For the season, the Tigers have outscored their opponents by an average of 11.5 points per game at home.

As the favorite this season, Clemson has gone just 5-9-1 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers are 3-6-1 vs. the spread. At home, Clemson is just 4-7-1 vs. the spread this year and over their last 3 home games, they have an ATS mark of 0-2-1.

This season, the over/under record for Clemson games is 12-8, and today's line of 127.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (148.1). So far, 19 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points, and their over/under record in their previous 10 games is 6-4.

In contrast to their season average of 79.7 points per game, the Clemson had a below average performance. They scored 70 points against Louisville and had a field goal percentage of 43.1%. In terms of offense, the Tigers have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 81st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 146th in percentage and 115th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today's game, the Clemson defense is giving up an average of 72.6 points per contest. Against Louisville in their most recent game, the Clemson defense gave up a total of 64 points while allowing Louisville to hit 43% of their shots.