Planning on watching today's Longhorns and Horned Frogs game? Catch the action at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, TX, as the Horned Frogs hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on ESPN2. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 149 points, and TCU is favored by -4.5 to win at home against Texas.

TEXAS LONGHORNS VS TCU HORNED FROGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: TCU Horned Frogs -4.5

This game will be played at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.

WHY BET THE TCU HORNED FROGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Horned Frogs.
  • Not only will TCU pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can Texas Pull Off a Road Win?

Through 21 games, Texas has a record of 14-7, including a 3-4 mark in Big 12 play. On the road, the Longhorns are 3-3, compared to 11-3 at home.

As an underdog this season, Texas is 2-3, and they come into this game as 4.5-point underdogs. In their last game, the Longhorns lost to BYU by a score of 84-72.

As the underdog, Texas has gone 2-3 vs. the spread this season and 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Longhorns have an ATS mark of 2-4 this year and are 4-6 in their last 10 games vs. the spread away from home.

Today's over/under line of 149 is higher than the average over/under line in Texas' games this season (146.2). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than 149. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points.

In their latest game, Texas offense put up 72 points against BYU. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 44.3% and made 8 threes. Max Abmas is leading the team in scoring at 17.7 points per contest. Tyrese Hunter has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.1 going into the game.

At present, the Longhorns' defense is nationally ranked 90th, allowing 68.2 points per game. So far, the Texas defense is giving up an average of 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.6 times per game (548th).

Can TCU Lock in a Home Win?

TCU is 16-5 on the season and has won two straight games. The Horned Frogs are 4-3 in Big 12 play and 12-2 in non-conference games. They are 10-3 at home this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +16.0 points per game.

So far, TCU has been the favorite in 17 of its 21 games, going 14-3 in those matchups. In their last game, the Horned Frogs defeated Texas Tech, 85-78. Over their last 10 games at home, they are 7-3.

As the favorite, TCU has gone 10-7 against the spread this season and they have an overall ATS record of 12-8. At home, the Horned Frogs are 7-6 ATS this year and they have gone 5-5 ATS in their last 10 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for TCU's games is 11-9, which is right in line with today's line of 149. On average, their games have finished with 151.9 points per game. Today's OU line of 149 is similar to their average OU line of 149.4. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 171 points.

In their latest game, TCU offense put up 85 points against Texas Tech. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.1% and made 11 threes. In terms of offense, the Horned Frogs have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 49th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 143rd in percentage and 275th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Horned Frogs' defense holds the 139th rank in the nation, allowing 70.9 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. Texas. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.5%.