UTEP Miners vs Tennessee Volunteers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

UTEP comes into this week 13 non-conference matchup against Tennessee with a 2-8 record. The game is set for 1:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd, at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, and SEC Network will be handling the TV broadcast. Tennessee is 8-2 on the season, and the over/under line is 53.5 points, with Tennessee favored by -41.5 points.
UTEP MINERS VS TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UTEP Miners +41.5
This game will be played at Neyland Stadium at 1:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE UTEP MINERS:
- We have the Tennessee Volunteers winning this one by a score of 38 to 15
- Even though we like the Tennessee Volunteers to win, our ATS pick is to take the UTEP Miners at +41.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 53.5 points
Will The UTEP Miners Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
UTEP enters Week 13 with a 2-8 record and no chance of reaching bowl eligibility. They are ranked 129th in our CFB power rankings and have gone 0-5 on the road this season.
The Miners have been favored in just one game this season, and their average scoring margin is -10.5 points per game. Against the spread, they are 3-5 overall, with a 2-3 record on the road.
This week’s over/under line is set at 53.5 points. UTEP’s games have averaged 48.9 points, and their over/under record is 3-5, with an average line of 50.7 points.
Heading into week 13, UTEP’s offense is averaging 19.2 points per game, placing them 132nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 113th in third-down conversions, converting just 31.8% of their attempts. On the ground, UTEP averages 124.9 rushing yards per game.
Skyler Locklear leads the passing game with 1,356 yards and a 67% completion rate. He has thrown nine touchdowns and five interceptions, with a passer rating of 92. Kenny Odom has 662 receiving yards and seven touchdowns this season.
UTEP’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 29.7 points per game. In their latest matchup, they gave up 35 points to Kennesaw State, despite allowing just 250 total yards, including 113 rushing yards and 137 passing yards. The defense also forced an interception in the game.
Opponents have averaged 173.8 rushing yards per game against UTEP, while quarterbacks have posted a 95.9 passer rating, completing 65.1% of their throws. UTEP’s defense ranks 78th nationally, allowing 211.9 passing yards per game.
Are The Tennessee Volunteers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Tennessee enters Week 13 with an 8-2 record, ranked 9th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible but only a 0.1% shot at winning the Southeastern. However, they have a 65.8% chance of making the playoff, which is the 10th best in the country.
The Volunteers are 4-0 at home and 2-2 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in six of their ten games, going 5-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +21.1 points, and they are 4-4 against the spread.
Tennessee’s over/under record is 4-4, with their games averaging 49.9 points. The average over/under line this season is 55.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 53.5 points.
Heading into week 13, Tennessee’s offense is averaging 35.5 points per game, placing them 16th in the nation. They rank 36th in our offensive power rankings. Their ground game is their strength, with 229.7 rushing yards per game on 45.1 attempts, ranking 9th and 4th nationally, respectively.
Dylan Sampson leads the Volunteers with 1,230 rushing yards and 21 touchdowns. Quarterback Nico Iamaleava has thrown for 2,046 yards, completing 64.6% of his passes with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. Tennessee ranks 25th in third-down conversions, converting 45.5% of their attempts.
Tennessee’s defense, ranked 8th nationally, is allowing just 14.4 points per game this season. They’ve been strong against the run, giving up only 108.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 19th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 72.5 against Tennessee, completing 57.2% of their passes for an average of 189.1 yards per game.
In their recent game against Georgia, Tennessee allowed 31 points, giving up 456 total yards. Georgia threw for 347 yards and ran the ball 28 times for 109 yards. Tennessee’s defense also allowed 25 first downs in the 31-17 loss.