USC Trojans vs UCLA Bruins Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
USC comes in as the -4.5 point favorite over UCLA this week, with kickoff set for 10:30 ET at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena. The game will be broadcast on NBC, and the over/under line is currently at 51.5 points. The money line odds have USC at -195 and UCLA at +162. Both teams are looking to get to .500 on the season, with USC at 5-5 and UCLA at 4-6.
USC TROJANS VS UCLA BRUINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UCLA Bruins +4.5
This game will be played at Rose Bowl at 10:30 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE UCLA BRUINS:
- We have the USC Trojans winning this one by a score of 29 to 26
- Even though we like the USC Trojans to win, our ATS pick is to take the UCLA Bruins at +4.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 51.5 points
Will The USC Trojans Win As Road Favorites?
USC heads into their Week 13 matchup against UCLA with a 5-5 record. They are 5-0 at home but have struggled on the road, going 0-4. The Trojans have been favored in eight of their ten games, with a 4-4 record as the favorite. Their average scoring margin this season is +8.3 points, and they have an 82.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible.
Against the spread, USC is 5-4, covering all five home games but failing to cover on the road. As the favorite, they are 4-4 ATS, and they’ve gone 1-0 ATS as the underdog.
USC’s over/under record is 3-5-1, with their games averaging 52.3 points. Their average over/under line is 54.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 51.5 points.
USC’s offense is ranked 14th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. They are 40th in points per game, scoring 30.3. Miller Moss has thrown for 2,555 yards, and the Trojans are 7th in both passing attempts and completions per game. They average 288 passing yards per game and have converted 46.8% of their third downs.
Moss has 18 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, with a passer rating of 91. USC ranks 61st nationally in passer rating. Woody Marks leads the ground game with 1,024 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns.
USC’s defense has allowed 22 points per game this season, ranking 35th nationally. In their recent game against Nebraska, they gave up 20 points, allowing 310 total yards, including 119 rushing yards on 25 attempts and 191 passing yards. The Trojans also forced two interceptions in the game.
Opponents have averaged 233.1 passing yards per game against USC, completing 67% of their passes. USC’s defense has faced the 21st fewest rushing attempts in the country, allowing 133.7 rushing yards per game.
Are The UCLA Bruins Going Win In At Upset At Rose Bowl
UCLA enters Week 13 against USC with a 4-6 record, ranked 61st in our power rankings. They have just a 19% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Bruins are 1-3, while they’ve gone 3-3 on the road this season.
Against the spread, UCLA is 6-4, with a 4-2 record on the road and 2-2 at home. They’ve been favored in just one game this season, and their average scoring margin is -8.3 points per game.
This week’s over/under line is set at 51.5 points. UCLA’s games have averaged 45.9 points, with an average over/under line of 47 points. Their over/under record for the season is 4-6.
UCLA’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 18.8 points per game, which ranks 90th in the nation. They are 122nd in rushing, with only 87.4 yards per game, and T.J. Harden leads the team with 384 rushing yards. He has one rushing touchdown and averages 3 yards per carry. UCLA is 58th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.
Quarterback Ethan Garbers has thrown for 2,174 yards, and UCLA ranks 35th in passing attempts per game. Garbers has 14 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, with a passer rating of 86. UCLA is 26th in completion percentage, connecting on 64.7% of their passes. Logan Loya leads the receivers with 299 yards and four touchdowns.
UCLA’s defense, ranked 12th nationally against the run, has allowed just 101.3 rushing yards per game on 29.8 attempts, the 16th fewest in the country. In their recent game against Washington, they gave up 124 rushing yards and 182 passing yards, while forcing two interceptions.
Opponents have averaged a 92 passer rating and 245.7 passing yards per game against UCLA, ranking the Bruins 124th in the nation. This season, quarterbacks have completed 65.9% of their passes against UCLA’s defense.