Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Missouri comes into this week 13 matchup with a 7-3 record, and they are on the road vs. Mississippi State. The game is set for 4:15 ET from Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, and you can catch the action on SECN. Missouri is favored by -7.5 points, and the over/under line is currently at 57.5 points. The Bulldogs are just 2-8 on the season.

MISSOURI TIGERS VS MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Missouri Tigers -7.5

This game will be played at Davis Wade Stadium at 4:15 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.

WHY BET THE MISSOURI TIGERS:

• We have the Missouri Tigers winning this one by a score of 33 to 24
• Not only do we have the Missouri Tigers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 57.5 points

Will The Missouri Tigers Win As Road Favorites?

With a 7-3 record, Missouri is 4-0 at home and 1-3 on the road this season. They are ranked 24th in our power rankings and are already bowl-eligible. Missouri has been favored in four games, going 4-0 as the favorite this season.

Their ATS record stands at 5-3, with a +8.2 average scoring margin. Missouri is 3-1 against the spread as the favorite and 2-2 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is 57.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. Missouri’s over/under record is 3-5, with an average line of 49.1 points and an average total score of 48.2 points per game.

Missouri’s offense is averaging 28.2 points per game heading into week 13, placing them 49th in the nation. Our power rankings have them 52nd. They are 23rd in third-down conversions, converting 45.6% of their attempts. Missouri ranks 26th in rushing attempts, averaging 167.1 yards per game on the ground.

Brady Cook leads the passing game with 1,812 yards and a 63.5% completion rate. He has thrown eight touchdowns and two interceptions, with a passer rating of 92. Nate Noel leads the rushing attack with 684 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Theo Wease Jr. has 637 receiving yards on 47 catches.

Missouri’s defense will look to bounce back after giving up 34 points in their recent loss to South Carolina, where they allowed 22 first downs and 463 total yards. While they held South Carolina to 110 rushing yards, the secondary struggled, giving up 353 passing yards and five touchdowns, though they did manage to snag one interception.

Despite the rough outing, Missouri’s defense ranks 23rd nationally, allowing just 20 points per game. They’re giving up 131.3 rushing yards per game and 180.6 passing yards, ranking 29th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 59.2% of their passes against Missouri, posting a passer rating of 83.1.

Are The Mississippi State Bulldogs Going Win In At Upset At Davis Wade Stadium

Mississippi State enters Week 13 with a 2-8 record, and they have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 69th in our power rankings ahead of their matchup with Missouri. At home, the Bulldogs are 1-4 this season.

Against the spread, Mississippi State is 5-4, with a 3-1 record on the road and 2-3 at home. Their average scoring margin is -6.8 points per game.

Their over/under record stands at 6-3, with their games averaging 62 points. This week’s line is set at 57.5 points, slightly above their average line of 57.3 points.

Mississippi State’s offense is averaging 27.6 points per game heading into week 13, placing them 53rd in the nation. They are ranked 51st in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game ranks 53rd, averaging 238.9 yards per game, and they are 45th in passing attempts.

Michael Van Buren Jr. has thrown for 1,415 yards, with nine touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 82. Davon Booth leads the rushing attack with 597 yards, averaging 4 yards per carry. Kevin Coleman Jr. has 756 receiving yards and five touchdowns this season.

Mississippi State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.4 points per game. In their recent 33-14 loss to Tennessee, they gave up 33 points and 323 total yards, including 156 rushing yards and 167 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 217 rushing yards per game against Mississippi State, while quarterbacks have posted a 105.3 passer rating, completing 70.2% of their throws for an average of 246.2 passing yards per game.