Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
Ole Miss comes into this week 13 matchup with an 8-2 record, while Florida is 5-5 on the season. The game is set for 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd, at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, and will be broadcast on ABC. Ole Miss is favored by -9.5 points, with the over/under line currently at 55.5 points.
OLE MISS REBELS VS FLORIDA GATORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Florida Gators +9.5
This game will be played at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE FLORIDA GATORS:
- We have the Ole Miss Rebels winning this one by a score of 31 to 25
- Even though we like the Ole Miss Rebels to win, our ATS pick is to take the Florida Gators at +9.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 55.5 points
Will The Ole Miss Rebels Win As Road Favorites?
With an 8-2 record, Ole Miss is 100% bowl-eligible heading into Week 13 against Florida. They have a 0.6% chance of winning the Southeastern but a 62.5% shot at making the playoff. The Rebels are ranked 6th in our power rankings.
Ole Miss is 3-0 on the road and 4-1 at home this season. They’ve been favored in seven of their ten games, going 6-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +27.8, and they are 6-2 against the spread.
Their over/under record is 1-7, with an average line of 58.2 points. This week’s line is set at 55.5, while Ole Miss games have averaged 53.6 points per contest.
Heading into week 13, Ole Miss boasts one of the nation’s top passing attacks, ranking second in passing yards per game with 365.7. They are also second in passer rating. Jaxson Dart, their quarterback, has thrown for 3,409 yards with a passer rating of 127 and a completion rate of 70.8%. He has 22 touchdowns and just four interceptions. The Rebels are fourth in scoring, averaging 40.7 points per game, and are ranked sixth in our offensive power rankings.
Tre Harris leads the receiving corps with 987 yards on 59 catches, scoring six touchdowns. Ole Miss is 23rd in passing completions, averaging 22.9 per game. On the ground, they average 174.5 rushing yards per game. Henry Parrish Jr. has 678 rushing yards, 10 touchdowns, and averages 5 yards per carry.
Ole Miss’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 5th nationally by allowing just 12.9 points per game. In their recent game against Georgia, they gave up only 10 points, despite allowing 456 total yards, including 347 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 229.3 passing yards per game against Ole Miss, completing 62.8% of their throws. However, Ole Miss has been stout against the run, ranking 5th in the country by allowing just 82.5 rushing yards per game.
Are The Florida Gators Going Win In At Upset At Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
At 5-5 this season, Florida is ranked 26th in our CFB power rankings. They have an 85.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the Southeastern. The Gators are 3-2 at home and 1-2 on the road this year.
Florida’s ATS record stands at 5-3, and they’ve been favored in just one game this season. Their average scoring margin is +1.6 points per game, and they’ve gone 1-0 ATS as the favorite and 3-3 as the underdog.
Their over/under record is 6-2, with an average line of 52.7 points. This week’s line is 55.5 points, and their games have averaged 54.4 points per contest.
Florida’s offense has been average, ranking 50th in our offensive power rankings and scoring 28 points per game, which is 50th nationally. They are 93rd in third down conversion rate, converting just 36.8% of their attempts. On the ground, they average 152 rushing yards per game.
Jadan Baugh leads the rushing attack with 476 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback DJ Lagway has thrown for 1,297 yards with seven touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 98.
Florida’s defense is coming off a strong performance against LSU, allowing just 16 points. They gave up 130 rushing yards on 44 attempts and 262 yards through the air, while forcing no interceptions.
On the season, Florida ranks 61st nationally, giving up 26.4 points per game. Opponents are averaging 164 rushing yards per game and 236.9 passing yards, completing 60.3% of their throws.