Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24

Yariel Rodriguez gets the start for the Blue Jays on Sunday, and he will be facing off against Gerrit Cole and the Yankees. The money line odds have the Yankees as the heavy favorite, with their odds sitting at -236 compared to the Blue Jays at +194. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:35 PM ET, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs.
The Blue Jays are 51-60 this season, while the Yankees are 66-46, and New York is currently in 2nd place in the AL East. Toronto is 5th in the division. SNET will be televising Sunday’s game, and the Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10, while the Blue Jays have won 7 of their last 10.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 9.5 Runs
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 1:35 ET on Sunday, August 4th.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS YANKEES:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 7 to 6
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over
New York cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 2nd inning, scoring eight of their ten runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only three runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -240 on the money line.
Carlos Rodón got the win for the Yankees, going just 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Clay Holmes came out of the bullpen for the save. José Berríos had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, taking the loss.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 3/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Anthony Volpe did a bit of everything for the Yankees, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 14.5 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 51-60 as they play on the road today vs. the Yankees. Toronto is 5th in the AL East and are 14.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead.
The Blue Jays have an overall series record of 12-16-6 this year, and they are 18-36 as the underdog this year. As for their record at home, the Blue Jays are 26-28 and 25-32 on the road. Toronto is also 33-24 when favored this year.
When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.1 runs per game. However, in their losses, they lose by an average of 4.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 52-59, with a run line record of 34-23 on the road. They are 24-33 against the run line as the favorite and 28-26 against the run line as the underdog.
The Blue Jays are on the road against the Yankees today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 61-47. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line is set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in three of four games. Just 1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their games have gone under that line in 95.5% of their contests this season. The over has hit in three straight Blue Jays games.
Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 4.31. Opponents are batting .207 off Rodríguez this season, and his WHIP is 1.36. The last time he took the mound, Rodríguez gave up three earned runs in two-thirds of an inning of work, taking the loss in the outing. Before that, he had put together two straight quality starts. One concern for Rodríguez is his ERA on the road, which is 13.5 compared to 2.97 at home.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. Their home and road splits are very similar, with the team averaging 4.3 runs per game on the road and 4.0 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .240, and their team on-base percentage of .313 is 10th in the league.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a team-high 22 home runs and is batting .318 for the season. He has been especially hot of late, going 11/18 in his last five games with two homers and six RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is also on a 16-game hitting streak. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 13 homers but is batting just .227 for the season.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are currently 2nd in the AL East, tied with the Orioles for the division lead. New York is 66-46 heading into today’s game vs. the Blue Jays, and they are 21-23 in AL East matchups this year. The Yankees are 28-24 at home and have been really good on the road, going 38-22 this season.
As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 48-40 this year, and they are 18-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 19-11-4, and they have won two straight series. The Yankees are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.
When it comes to the run line, the Yankees have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 36-24 compared to 24-28. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 20-4, compared to 40-48 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is 4.2, while it is -3.3 in losses.
When the Yankees play at home, the over has been hitting at a 62-46 clip this season, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per contest. The over has hit in eight of the 11 games with a line set at 9.5 runs, and New York’s over streak is currently at nine games.
New York will be sending Gerrit Cole to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays, and he comes into the game with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 5.40. In his 35 innings of work, Cole has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 9.77 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander’s last outing was on July 24th vs. the Mets, where he took the loss, giving up six hits, four earned runs, and two homers in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 5.96 compared to 5.6 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees’ offense is averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is the best mark in the league. They are also the league’s top home run hitting team and have the top on-base percentage and OPS in the league. New York has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.6 runs per contest.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team’s top two hitters this season, with Judge leading the team with a .321 average and 41 homers, while Soto is batting .308 with 27 homers. Judge has been especially hot of late, going 15/34 in his last nine games with six homers and 14 RBIs. Soto comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak, while Anthony Volpe has an eight-game streak going.