Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24

Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins on Sunday, and he will be facing off against Max Fried and the Braves. Atlanta is 60-50 this season, while the Marlins are 41-70. This NL East matchup has a first pitch of 1:35 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta. The forecast for Sunday’s matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures in the high 80s.

Currently, the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -298. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on BSSE.

MIAMI MARLINS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Truist Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, August 4th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Miami rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Braves series. The Marlins scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +211 on the money line.

Kyle Tyler started for the Marlins, going just 2 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out two. Declan Cronin got the win out of the bullpen, and Calvin Faucher got the save. Grant Holmes only went 4 2/3 innings for the Braves, giving up three runs on seven hits.

Jake Burger and Jesus Sanchez each homered for the Marlins, while Nick Fortes scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Marcell Ozuna hit a home run for the Braves, going 1/4.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 41-70 overall this season, putting them 5th in the NL East, 24.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 10-23 in divisional games. The Marlins are on the road today, where they are 19-36 this year.

This season, the Marlins have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-13. As for their time as the underdog, Miami is 37-57 this season. They are also losing the series vs. the Braves, with an overall series record of 10-20-4. Miami’s overall record is made up of a 22-34 mark at home.

When betting the run line on the Marlins this season, it’s been better to take them as the underdog, as they are 50-44. Miami is 27-28 against the run line on the road, and overall, the Marlins have been outscored by an average of 1.3 runs per game this season.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is right on the money with the combined run average for Miami Marlins games this season. The Marlins have gone over the line in 18 of 35 games when the line is set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 60-48. The under has hit in each of their last three games.

Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he comes in with a record of 1-3 and ERA of 6.65. So far, Cabrera has made 10 starts, and opponents are batting .233 this year. In his 10 appearances, he has turned in just one quality start. Looking back at his last outing, Cabrera finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Rays. He pitched much better in that outing, as he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts before that.

Over his last eight games, Jake Burger has been on fire for the Marlins, going 12/32 with five homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in homers, and his 46 RBIs are also the best mark on the team. Jesús Sánchez is also a significant power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 12 homers.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .237, and their on-base percentage of .291 is also near the bottom of the league. Miami’s team OPS of .655 is also 26th in the MLB.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 60-50, the Braves are five games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 18-15 in divisional matchups. The Braves are at home today, where they are 32-22 this season.

Atlanta has gone an even 28-28 on the road this year. As the favorite, the Braves are 53-39 and 7-11 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Braves are 18-13-4 and have dropped two straight series at home.

When betting on the Braves’ run line this season, you have to be careful. They are 51-59 overall and 23-31 at home, but 28-28 on the road. Their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game, but it jumps to +3.6 in their wins and drops to -3.1 in their losses. They are 42-50 against the run line as the favorite and 9-9 as the underdog.

The Atlanta Braves are at home against the Miami Marlins today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Braves games this season is 7.9 runs, and their over/under record is 39-66. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 11-20. So far this season, 38 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 34.5% of their games.

Max Fried will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, as he gave up five earned runs in six innings of work. In that start, he gave up three homers. Fried’s record for the season is 7-5, and he has an ERA of 3.08. Looking back over his last three outings, Fried has finished with a no-decision, followed by two straight losses. Fried has made 18 starts this year, and opponents are batting .223 vs. the left-hander. So far, he has turned in 10 quality starts and has a shutout to his name.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .300 with 32 homers and 86 RBIs, which are both good for 3rd in the league. Ozuna has also been hot of late, going 5/17 in his last five games. Matt Olson has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 5/17 with three homers in his last five games. Olson is batting just .227 for the season.

As a team, the Braves are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Overall, they are batting just .239 and are 24th in the league in strikeouts. Currently, Travis d’Arnaud has the longest active hitting streak for the Braves at nine games.