Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 8/4/24
At 1:35 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Pirates square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, and the Pirates are favored on the money line (-158). The money line odds for the Diamondbacks are sitting at +134, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
SN PT will be televising this one, and the Pirates will be looking to move above .500, as they are 56-54. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 59-52. Sunday’s starting pitching matchup is Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks and Paul Skenes for the Pirates.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +134
This game will be played at PNC Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, August 4th.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS PIRATES:
- We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Pittsburgh picked up a 4-2 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 6th inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -117 on the money line.
Mitch Keller only went four innings for the Pirates but didn’t give up a run and finished with four strikeouts. Kyle Nicolas came out of the bullpen for the win, and David Bednar got the save. Slade Cecconi had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, taking the loss.
Joey Bart and Bryan Reynolds each homered for the Pirates, while Geraldo Perdomo went 3/3 with two doubles for the Diamondbacks.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is 59-52 overall and is 5.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the division, sandwiched between the Padres and Giants. So far, they have gone 19-14 in divisional games. The Diamondbacks have won four straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 18-13-4 this year.
At home, the Diamondbacks have gone 31-25 compared to 28-27 on the road. Arizona has been good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 32-20. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 27-32 this season.
Arizona has been a strong bet against the run line on the road this season, going 31-24. The Diamondbacks have an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game away from home, and their overall run line record is 56-55. They have been a better bet against the run line as an underdog, going 35-24, compared to 21-31 as the favorite.
Arizona’s over/under record this season is 60-48, and when the line is set at 8 runs, the Diamondbacks are 10-4-1. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game, and 72.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs. The average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs.
Ryne Nelson has made 18 starts this season and pitched well his last time out, as he didn’t give up an earned run in 7 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up just two hits and two walks. Nelson finished with nine strikeouts in the game. Looking back further, he has a batting average allowed of .281, a record of 8-6, and an ERA of 4.53. Nelson’s WHIP for the season is 1.36. Out of his 20 appearances, he has seven quality starts. Nelson’s ERA at home is 6.96 compared to 4.0 on the road.
Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 2nd in runs per game at 5.1. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 4th in team batting average and have the league’s 2nd home run hitter in Ketel Marte, who is also hitting .302 for the season.
Marte has been on fire of late, going 15/36 in his last 10 games with six homers and 16 RBIs. His 75 RBIs this season are 7th in the league. Christian Walker is also having a good season at the plate, with 23 homers and a batting average of .254.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is 56-54 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by six games in the division. The Pirates are 17-15 in divisional games this year. They will be hosting the Diamondbacks today with an overall home record of 27-27.
The Pirates have been good on the road this season, going 29-27. They have won two straight games as the favorite and are 24-20 overall when favored. As the underdog, the Pirates are 32-34 this season. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 16-14-5, and they are 1-1 in their series vs. the Diamondbacks.
When the Pittsburgh Pirates win, they do so by an average of 3.2 runs per game, which is the best in the majors. They are 63-47 against the run line this season, including 35-21 on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 46-20 against the run line as an underdog.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an over/under record of 51-58 this season, with an average line of 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 11-13. Overall, 52.7% of their games have had lines set higher than 8 runs, with the combined run average of their games at 8.5 runs.
Paul Skenes gets the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 6-1. Skenes’ ERA is an impressive 1.90, and he has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Skenes finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The right-hander has been especially tough at home, coming in with a 3.02 ERA compared to 1.0 on the road.
So far this season, the Pirates offense has been pretty average, as they are 20th in the league in runs scored and have a team batting average of just .233. One area they have been strong is avoiding strikeouts, as they are 25th in the league in strikeouts per game. As a team, they are 20th in home runs and have an on-base percentage of just .301.
Over his last 10 games, Oneil Cruz is batting .308 with two homers, and he has driven in five runs during that stretch. Joey Bart and Andrew McCutchen are also on nice runs, as Bart has a four-game hitting streak and McCutchen has hit safely in five straight games. For the season, Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz are the Pirates’ top home run hitters, with 19 and 18 homers, respectively.