The Vaqueros and Wildcats are set to face off at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The Wildcats will host the game at Moody Coliseum (Abilene) in Abilene, TX. The odds for this Western Athletic conference game currently have the Wildcats as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 155 points.


The Pick: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +9.5

This game will be played at Moody Coliseum (Abilene) at 6:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Even though we have Abilene Christian winning straight-up, we like Texas-Rio Grande Valley at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 155 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Are the Vaqueros Ready for a Win at Abilene?

Heading into today's matchup, Texas-Rio Grande Valley is a 9.5-point underdog on the road. So far this season, the Vaqueros have gone 4-10 overall and are 1-4 on the road.

In their last game, Texas-Rio Grande Valley faced off against Stephen F. Austin and lost by a score of 85-78. Over their last 10 road games, the Vaqueros have gone just 3-7.

As the underdog, Texas-Rio Grande Valley has gone 5-5 vs. the spread this season and they have an overall ATS mark of 5-7. On the road, the Vaqueros are 3-2 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 6-4 ATS in their last 10 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas-Rio Grande Valley games is 6-6. The average scoring total in their games this year is 151.3 points, which is lower than the average OU line of 152.5. In their last three games, the OU record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

In their recent matchup, the Texas-Rio Grande Valley offense ended with 78 points against Stephen F. Austin. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.1% and made 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Ahren Freeman with 26 points. Hasan Abdul-Hakim also added 18 points for the Vaqueros.

Coming into the game, Texas-Rio Grande Valley will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 79.6 points per game (278th). So far, the Texas-Rio Grande Valley defense is giving up an average of 9.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 14.6 times per game (697th).

Can the Wildcats Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Abilene Christian comes into today's game with an overall record of 5-8 and are favored by 9.5 points over Texas-Rio Grande Valley. So far, the Wildcats have gone 1-3 at home this season and have an average scoring margin of -1.5 points per game at home.

In their last game, Abilene Christian took on Western Kentucky and lost by a score of 86-84. Over their last ten games at home, the Wildcats are just 3-7.

Abilene Christian has struggled against the spread as the favorite this season, going just 1-2 vs. the spread when favored. Their overall ATS record is 6-5. At home, the Wildcats are just 1-3 vs. the spread this year and have gone just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Abilene Christian's over/under record for the season sits at 8-2-1, and today's line of 155 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143.6). However, the scoring in their games has been trending higher recently with an average of 164 points in their last three contests. This includes an over/under record of 3-0 in their last three games.

In their recent matchup, the Abilene Christian offense ended with 84 points against Western Kentucky. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 42.7% and made 11 threes. The team's scoring leader is Ali Abdou Dibba, who holds an average of 15 as they head into today's matchup. Additionally, Hunter-Jack Madden is averaging 12 points per game this season.

Currently, the Wildcats' defense holds the 234th rank in the nation, allowing 76.0 points per game. Against Western Kentucky in their most recent game, the Abilene Christian defense gave up a total of 86 points while allowing Western Kentucky to hit 50% of their shots.