Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/25/24
Wednesday’s matchup between the Rays and Tigers has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit. The Tigers are currently on a three-game winning streak and are 83-74 overall, while the Rays have lost two straight and are 78-79.
The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Tigers are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -117 compared to the Rays at -101. Keider Montero is starting for the Tigers, and the Rays are sending Zack Littell to the mound.
DETROIT TIGERS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline -117
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, September 25th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Detroit picked up a 2-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a two-run 5th inning, and the Rays scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Tigers were favored at -193 on the money line.
Tarik Skubal started for the Tigers and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued one walk. Ryan Pepiot got the start for the Rays and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.
Wenceel Perez was the only Tigers hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/2 with two RBIs. Brandon Lowe had a two-hit game for the Rays, including a home run.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays are 78-79 overall and trail the Yankees by 14 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 4th in the division and have gone 24-25 in AL East matchups. Tampa Bay is on a two-game winning streak when favored and has an overall record of 37-31 as the favorite this year.
At home, the Rays are 42-39 this season, and they are just under .500 at 36-40 on the road. Tampa Bay has an overall series record of 24-19-7 this year, and they have won two straight series.
When betting the run line, the Rays have been a much better bet on the road than at home, going 44-32. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 57-32, compared to 24-44 as the favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.7, while it is -3.4 in losing games. Their overall run line record is 81-76.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Detroit Tigers today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 7.9 runs, and their over/under record is 66-83. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Rays have gone over 23 times and under 31 times. Overall, 55.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and they are currently on a six-game under streak.
Zack Littell has been pitching well for the Rays, as he has won his last three starts. Most recently, he faced the Red Sox and didn’t give up a run in seven innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Littell has made 28 starts and has a record of 8-9. His ERA for the season is 3.56, along with a WHIP of 1.24. For the year, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 7.95 strikeouts per nine innings. Littell has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 5.73 compared to 4-5 with a 3.08 ERA at home.
For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .231 and have the 22nd ranked home run total in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .303 is also just 17th in the MLB.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ top hitter this season, with a batting average of .282 and a team-high 65 RBIs. He is also 3rd on the team with 14 home runs. Christopher Morel and Brandon Lowe are tied for the team lead in homers, but Morel is batting just .197 and Lowe is at .242 for the season. Over his last five games, Jonathan Aranda has gone 5/15 with three homers.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 83-74 overall and is 7.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Tigers are also 3rd in the division, and they have gone 27-22 against other teams in the AL Central. The Tigers have won three straight games, and they have taken the first game of this series vs. the Rays.
At home, the Tigers are 40-36 this year and have gone 43-38 on the road. Detroit has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 46-50 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Tigers are 37-24 this year, and they have an overall series record of 25-20-5. Detroit has won five straight series overall and three straight on the road.
When the Tigers win, they do so by an average of 3.5 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Their run line record is 84-73, and they are 51-30 against the run line on the road. As the underdog, they are 62-34 against the run line, and they have covered in their last two games as the underdog.
When the Detroit Tigers play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 77-76. The over/under line for their games this season has averaged 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 22-18. Overall, 62.4% of their games have had over/under lines set above 7.5 runs, while 12.1% have had lines set below that mark. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Keider Montero is looking to bounce back from a rough outing out of the bullpen, as he most recently faced the Orioles on September 20th. In that outing, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs, and taking the loss. Montero gave up one homer in that outing. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight starts, not giving up a run in either outing. Montero’s record for the season is 6-6, and his ERA is 4.86. Opponents are batting .254 off Montero this season. He has one complete game shutout this year.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are batting a collective .234, which is 17th in the league and have been one of the worst on-base teams in the league so far this season, with a team OBP of .299. They are also just 19th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. Detroit’s offense has been even worse at home, averaging just 4.1 runs per game.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power hitter this season, with 24 homers, but he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .216 over his last nine games. Overall, he is batting .262 for the season. Kerry Carpenter is right behind Greene in homers, with 17, and comes into the game batting .287.