Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 9/25/24

The money line odds for Wednesday’s matchup between the Brewers and Pirates have the Brewers as the favorite at -155, while the Pirates are sitting at +131. This one is getting started at 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The forecast calls for light rain and temperatures in the low 70s.

Milwaukee is 90-67 and has won two straight, and they are starting Freddy Peralta. The Pirates are 73-84 and will have Luis L. Ortiz on the mound. This game can be seen on SN PT.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -155

This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, September 25th.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS PIRATES:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Pirates by a score of 7-2. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Pirates and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -148 on the money line.

Pittsburgh actually got on the board first in this game, scoring two runs in the 2nd inning. As for the Brewers, they didn’t get on the board until the 3rd and broke out for three run in the 7th. From there, they cruised to the easy win.

Tobias Myers only went four innings for the Brewers but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Hoby Milner got the win out of the bullpen. Bailey Falter had a rough outing for the Pirates, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is 90-67 overall this season, and they lead the NL Central by 9.5 games over the Cubs. The Brewers have won two straight games, and they are 31-19 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee took the series opener vs. the Pirates, and their overall series record is 28-18-3. This season, they are 45-33 at home and 45-34 on the road.

As the road favorite, the Brewers have gone 18-16 this season, and they are 53-37 as the favorite overall. So far, they have gone 37-30 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 28-18-3 this season, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

When betting on the Brewers’ run line, it’s been a good idea to take them as the underdog this season, as they are 44-23 in that spot. They are also 44-35 on the run line on the road, where they have covered in five straight games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.9.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 80-67. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 22-15. Overall, 72.6% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.

Freddy Peralta is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Phillies, he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. Looking back further, he has made 11 quality starts this year and has a record of 11-8. Peralta’s ERA for the season is 3.69, along with a WHIP of 1.23. This year, he has allowed a total of 26 home runs and is averaging 10.32 strikeouts per nine innings. Peralta’s overall strikeout total for the season is 193, and he is currently ninth in the majors in strikeouts.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power hitters this season, with Contreras having 23 homers and Adames leading the team with 32. Adames’ 111 RBIs is 4th in the league, while Contreras is 2nd on the team with 92 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has 25 homers this season but is batting just .213. Over his last six games, Garrett Mitchell is hitting .316 with two home runs.

As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs per game at 4.8. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the MLB.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 73-84 overall, putting them 5th in the NL Central, 17 games behind the Brewers. So far, they have gone 24-26 in divisional play. The Pirates dropped the series opener vs. the Brewers and have an overall series record of 20-24-5 this year.

At home, the Pirates are 38-41 this year compared to 35-43 on the road. They have really struggled as the underdog this year, going 39-56, while they are 34-28 when favored. Pittsburgh’s overall record includes going 3-7 over their last 10 games.

When the Pirates win, they do so by an average of 3.1 runs, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs. Their run line record is 83-74, and they have been a better bet on the run line on the road (45-33) than at home (38-41). They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog (59-36) than as a favorite (24-38).

The Pirates have played in 114 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs this season, which accounts for 72.6% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-79 for the season. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 13-19.

Luis L. Ortiz is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Royals, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. In that September 13th start, he gave up two homers. Against the Brewers today, the right-hander has a record of 6-6 and an ERA of 3.43. Looking back at his last three outings, Ortiz has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss. He has given up at least two earned runs in each of his last three starts. Ortiz has made six quality starts this season and is averaging 7.13 strikeouts per nine innings.

Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have been the Pirates’ top power threats this season, with 21 and 22 home runs, respectively. Reynolds is also the team’s leader in RBIs, coming into the game with 85. Cruz is 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 76. Cruz has gone deep twice in his past seven games, but he is just 5/20 in that stretch. Reynolds has gone 6/24 in his last eight games, with two homers.

As a team, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the majors. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .236 and have the 21st ranked home run total in the league. Currently, Andrew McCutchen is on a four-game hitting streak, while Joey Bart has a three-game streak.