Kansas City Royals vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/25/24
The forecast from Washington, DC on Wednesday calls for moderate rain and 70-degree temperatures. The Nationals and Royals are set to face off at 6:45 PM ET at Nationals Park. DJ Herz is starting for the Nationals, and he is facing off against Michael Lorenzen for the Royals. Kansas City is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
The Nationals are currently on a two-game losing streak, and they are 69-88 overall. Kansas City is 2nd in the AL Central with a record of 83-74. MASN will be televising this interleague matchup.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -121
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Wednesday, September 25th.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Thanks to a late rally in the 10th inning, the Royals picked up a 1-0 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -199 on the money line.
Kansas City got to Nationals starter Mitchell Parker, who gave up five hits and six earned runs in just five innings of work. As for the Royals, Cole Ragans put together a good outing, going six innings and striking out six without giving up a run.
The only run of the game came on a Bobby Witt Jr. RBI single in the 10th. Witt finished the game 2/4 with a stolen base.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 83-74 overall and trails the Guardians by 7.5 games in the AL Central. The Royals are 33-19 against other teams in the division. The Royals took the first game of their series vs. the Nationals and have an overall series record of 22-26-2. So far, they have dropped two straight series.
At home, the Royals have gone 45-36 this season, and they are an even 38-38 on the road. Kansas City has been good as the favorite this season, going 48-31, and they are 35-43 as the underdog. Looking at their recent play, the Royals are just 3-7 over their last ten games.
When betting the run line on the Royals this season, it’s been a profitable endeavor, as they are 85-72 overall. They have been a solid play on the road, going 42-34, and as the underdog, where they are 46-32. Their average run margin in all games is +0.6, but in their wins, it jumps to +4.0.
The Kansas City Royals are on the road today against the Washington Nationals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.6 runs per game. The Royals have played to the over in 68 of their 152 games this season, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 16-17-3. Overall, 59.2% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, and their under streak is currently at 2 games.
Kansas City is sending right-hander Michael Lorenzen to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 7-6 with a 3.43 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .217 off Lorenzen this year, and he has a total of nine quality starts. In his last outing, Lorenzen finished with a no-decision, giving up zero earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Lorenzen’s ERA on the road is 6.59, compared to 3.2 at home.
For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250, and their team on-base percentage of .308 is 14th in the league. Kansas City has been one of the toughest teams to strike out this season, but they are near the bottom of the league in walks.
Over his last 10 games, Bobby Witt Jr. has gone 13/35 with two homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead with 32 home runs, which is 10th in the league. Witt Jr. is also on a five-game hitting streak. Salvador Perez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 27 homers this season, which is 15th in the league.
Nationals Records & Stats
With an overall record of 69-88, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 23.5 games. So far, they have gone 23-26 against other teams in the NL East. The Nationals have dropped two straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last ten games.
At home, the Nationals are 36-40 this season compared to a 33-48 mark on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 54-75 this year, and they have dropped two straight games as the underdog. The Nationals’ series record is 19-25-6, and they have lost two straight series.
When the Nationals win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Washington’s run line record is 87-70, with a -0.7 run differential per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 74-55 compared to 13-15 as the favorite.
The Washington Nationals have an over/under record of 73-78 this season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 10-11-1. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and 65.6% of their games have had lines set at 8 runs or higher. They are currently on a streak of four straight games going under the total.
Washington is starting DJ Herz today vs. the Royals, and he comes into the game with a record of 4-8 and an ERA of 4.30. Out of his 18 starts, Herz has turned in just two quality starts and is averaging 11.08 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Herz took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, Herz has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 6.24 compared to 4.19 at home.
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the MLB. Their home run numbers are also towards the bottom of the league, as they are 23rd in the league in that category. However, they do come into the game with the 13th best team batting average in the league at .242.
Currently, CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are tied for the team lead with 65 RBIs, with Abrams also leading the team with 20 homers. Garcia Jr. has been a solid contact hitter this season, batting .280. Over his last five games, Joey Gallo is 4/12 with two homers, while Jose Tena has gone 7/20 in that span.