Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 9/25/24

There does appear to be a chance of light rain in Cleveland on Wednesday, where the Guardians and Reds are set to face off at Progressive Field. First pitch for this one is 6:40 PM ET. BSGL will be televising this interleague matchup.

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Guardians are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -148. The Reds have a money line payout of +124, and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central, while the Guardians are 1st in the AL Central. Jakob Junis is starting for the Reds, and he will be facing off against Joey Cantillo.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -148

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, September 25th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cleveland cruised to an easy 6-1 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Reds, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -202 on the money line.

Tanner Bibee started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Carson Spiers got the start for the Reds and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work.

Cleveland’s two homers came from Lane Thomas and Kyle Manzardo. Thomas, Josh Naylor, Jose Ramirez, and Will Brennan each had two RBIs for the Guardians’ offense.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 76-82 overall, and they are 14.5 games out of first place in the NL Central. The Reds trail the Cardinals by 4.5 games for the third spot in the division. So far, they are 23-26 in divisional matchups. The Reds have dropped two straight games and lost their series opener vs. the Guardians.

At home, the Reds are 39-42 this year, and they are just above .500 at 37-40 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 41-48 this year, and they are just above .500 at 35-34 as the favorite. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 20-28-3, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 85-73 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 47-30. They have been an underdog in most of those games, going 56-33 on the run line when getting points. The average run margin in their games is just 0.1, but they have been outscored by 0.4 runs per game at home.

The Cincinnati Reds have an over/under record of 73-78 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-13. Overall, 70.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.

Cincinnati is sending right-hander Jakob Junis to the mound today as he faces the Guardians on the road. Junis has made 23 appearances this season to go along with five starts. He has a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 2.61. Opposing batters are hitting .197 this season off Junis, and he has a WHIP of .84. One of his 23 appearances was a quality start, and he is averaging 6.97 strikeouts per nine innings. Junis has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he gave up one earned run in six innings of work.

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds of late, going 10/34 in his past eight games with one home run and five RBIs. Overall, he is batting .260 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 74 RBIs. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also tied for 2nd on the team with 20 homers, but Steer is batting just .229, and Candelario is even lower at .225.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 15th in home runs. They have been a bit below average in terms of batting average and on-base percentage this season. Currently, Tyler Stephenson and Nick Martini are both on three-game hitting streaks.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is 91-67 overall and leads the AL Central by 7.5 games over the Royals. They have gone 30-22 against other teams in the division and have won three straight games at home. The Guardians have been really good at home this year, coming in with a mark of 49-28.

So far, the Guardians have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 63-34. As for how they have done as the home favorite, they are 42-21 this year. Cleveland has an overall series record of 28-16-6 this season.

The Cleveland Guardians are 38-39 against the run line at home this season and have a run line record of 81-77 overall. They have a run line record of 43-38 on the road, where they are outscoring opponents by 0.4 runs per game. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.3 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1 runs per game.

Today’s game between the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds has an over/under line of 8 runs. The Guardians have played in 70 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 44.3% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-79 on the year. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 13-20-6.

Joey Cantillo has made seven starts for the Guardians this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.63. In his most recent outing, Cantillo finished with a no-decision, going 4 1/3 innings against the Twins. He gave up one earned run in the outing. Before that, he had put together back-to-back starts in which he didn’t give up an earned run. Cantillo’s WHIP for the season is 1.20, and opponents are batting .218 off the left-hander this year. So far, he has made one quality start.

Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 37 homers are 7th in the league and the most on the Guardians roster. He also comes into today’s game with the team’s top batting average, hitting .275 for the season. Ramirez has been even better of late, going 7/20 in his last five games with two homers and five RBIs. Josh Naylor is also a power threat for the Guardians, as his 31 homers are 2nd on the team and 11th in the league.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 9th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting just .238, which is 15th in the league. Cleveland is 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts and have been good at drawing walks. Currently, Steven Kwan is on a four-game hitting streak.