From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the Rays and Red Sox facing off in an AL East matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET. The money line odds have the Red Sox as the favorite, with their line sitting at -140 compared to the Rays at +119. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and the forecast calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid 60's.

Wednesday's starting pitching matchup features Taj Bradley for the Rays and Tanner Houck for the Red Sox. Bradley is +183 on the run line compared to Houck at +150. In 22 games, the Rays are 21-22, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East with a record of 22-20.


The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -140

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, May 15th.


  • We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Boston picked up a 5-4 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a late rally, scoring one run in the 11th and another run in the 12th. As for the Rays, they scored two runs in the 6th and added their final two runs in the 7th.

Nick Pivetta got the start for the Red Sox, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out eight. Brennan Bernardino got the win out of the bullpen, and Matt Barnes got the save. Aaron Civale only went five innings for the Rays, giving up three earned runs on five hits.

Offensively, the Red Sox were led by Ceddanne Rafaela and Dominic Smith, as they were the only two Boston hitters to have more than one hit. Josh Lowe had a two-hit game for the Rays, including a home run.

Rays Records & Stats

Tampa Bay is 21-22 overall heading into today's game at the Red Sox. They are 7.0 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead and trail the Red Sox by 2.5 games for the final Wild Card spot. So far, they have gone just 5-7 in divisional games.

At home, the Rays have gone 14-12 this year compared to 7-10 on the road. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 14-15 this year and 7-7 as the underdog. The Rays' overall series record is 5-6-2, and they are currently tied with the Red Sox in their series. Looking back, the Rays have gone 6-4 over their last ten games.

The Rays have been a profitable run line team this season, going 18-25 overall. They are 8-9 on the run line in road games, and their run line record as an underdog is 9-5. Tampa Bay's average run margin in winning games is +2.6, while it drops to -3.9 in losses.

The Tampa Bay Rays have had a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 23-19. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 8-3. Over 53.5% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.

After taking a loss in his first start of the season, Taj Bradley and the Rays are on the road to face the Red Sox. In his first start, Bradley went 6 innings, giving up 1 earned run and striking out 7 batters.

Isaac Paredes has been one of the Rays' top hitters this season, batting .303 with a team-high 23 RBIs and eight homers. He has also been hot of late, going 12/32 in his last nine games. Randy Arozarena is also tied for the team lead with eight homers but is batting just .160 this season and has hit just .205 in his last 10 games.

As a team, the Rays are averaging 4.1 runs per game and are batting a collective .243, which is 10th in the league. Their team on-base percentage is 11th in the league, and they have the 7th best BABIP in the league. So far, they have been a better home team, averaging 4.3 runs per game.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 22-20 overall and trails the Yankees by 5.5 games in the AL East. So far, they have really struggled against other AL East teams, going just 1-4 in the division. The Red Sox will take on the Rays today, and they are 10-11 at home this year.

As the favorite, the Red Sox have gone 12-7 and 10-13 as the underdog. They are 7-7 as the home favorite this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Red Sox are 7-5-1 and are currently tied with the Rays in their series.

When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox are a much better bet on the road than at home, as they are 13-8 on the run line away from Fenway Park compared to just 7-14 at home. They are also a better bet as the underdog, going 14-9 against the run line in those games compared to just 6-13 as the favorite. Overall, their average run margin is +0.8, but that number jumps to +1.8 on the road and drops to -0.3 at home.

Today's over/under line for the Red Sox and Rays game is set at 8 runs. The Red Sox have played in 38 games this season, and 24 of those games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 14-24, and their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 1-3-2.

Through eight starts, Tanner Houck has a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 2.24. He has made one complete game shutout this year and has seven quality starts. Houck's WHIP for the season is .97, and opponents are batting .213 off the right-hander. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up just one earned run in three straight outings. Houck has given up at least one homer in three of his last four starts.

Heading into today's game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. This includes averaging 4.5 runs per game on the road and 4.0 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and have the 9th fewest strikeouts in the league. Boston's team BABIP of .31 is 4th in the league.

Ceddanne Rafaela comes into the game as the team's home run leader, but he is batting just .211 for the season. However, he has gone 6/23 in his last seven games with a home run. Tyler O'Neill is also near the top of the league in homers, with 10, and is batting .265 for the season. But, he is just 4/26 in his last seven games.