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The Phillies head into Wednesday's matchup vs. the Mets looking to complete a three-game sweep, as they've won two straight and are 30-13 overall. They're starting Ranger Suarez, while the Mets are going with Joey Lucchesi. This one is set to get started at 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.

Philadelphia is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -194, while the Mets are +164 underdogs. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and NSPPH is carrying the game on TV.

NEW YORK METS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, May 15th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS PHILLIES:

  • We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Philadelphia cruised to a 4-0 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run 3rd inning and added two more runs in the 9th. As for the Mets, they had scoring opportunities in the 4th and 5th innings but couldn't push across a run.

Aaron Nola started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going nine innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued four walks. Jose Butto got the start for the Mets and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.

At the plate, Philadelphia was led by Alec Bohm, who went 2/4 with two RBIs. Both of Bohm's hits were doubles. Starling Marte was the only Mets hitter to have more than one hit, going 2/4.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are 19-22 overall this season, and they are 10.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. New York has dropped two straight games and are 3-7 in their last 10. So far, they have gone 3-5 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Mets are 10-14 this year compared to a mark of 9-8 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets are 8-12 this year, and they have lost three straight games as the underdog overall. New York's overall series record is 6-7-1, and they have dropped two straight series.

When the Mets are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 11-6 on the season. They have covered the run line in their last three road games and have an average scoring margin of +0.4 runs per game when playing away from Citi Field.

So far this season, the Mets have played 41 games with over/under lines, and 22 of those games have had lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Today's line is 7.5 runs, and the Mets have gone 4-7 in games with that line. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, but their over/under record for the season is 19-22.

Joey Lucchesi is coming off a season in which he made nine starts and went 4-0. His ERA for the season was 2.89, and he finished the year with three quality starts. Lucchesi's WHIP for the season was 1.31, and he allowed a total of four home runs. On the year, he averaged 6.17 strikeouts per nine innings and 1.9 walks per game.

Heading into today's game, the Mets are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. One thing to keep in mind is that they have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per game. As a team, the Mets are batting just .233, which is 17th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .307 is also below the league average.

Brandon Nimmo has been one of the Mets' top power threats this season, as he is 3rd on the team with six homers and is batting just .221. However, he has three homers in his last nine games, going 7/30 over that stretch. Pete Alonso has a team-high 22 RBIs but is batting just .226 for the season.

Phillies Records & Stats

With an overall record of 30-13, the Phillies lead the NL East by two games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Mets. So far, they have gone 7-4 in divisional games this year. The Phillies have an overall series record of 9-2-3 this year and have won two straight series.

At home, the Phillies have gone 15-7 this year, and they are 15-6 on the road. The Phillies have been really good in night games, going 19-6 this year. As the favorite, the Phillies are 25-10 and 5-3 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Phillies have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games.

When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. That's why they are 23-20 against the run line this season. They are 13-8 on the run line on the road, compared to 10-12 at home. As the favorite, they are 18-17 against the run line, while they are 5-3 as the underdog.

When the Phillies and Mets met earlier this season, the combined run average was 8.8 runs per game. The over/under record for the Phillies this season is 21-20, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. In games where the over/under line was set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 3-8. Overall, 62.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and 11.6% have had lines set lower.

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today and comes in with a record of 7-0 and an ERA of 1.50. So far, he has made eight starts and has one complete game shutout. Suárez has turned in seven quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn't give up an earned run. In that start vs. the Marlins, he went seven innings, giving up just three hits and two walks. The last time he gave up an earned run was on April 4th. Suárez has been much better at home, with an ERA of 2.48 compared to 1.03 on the road.

Not only do the Phillies come into the game as the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league at 5.2 runs per game, but they also have the league's 2nd best on-base percentage and OPS. Collectively, the team is batting .259, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. One of the reasons for their success is that they are the league's 3rd best team at avoiding strikeouts.

Over the team's last nine games, Bryson Stott has gone 13/28, and Bryce Harper has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/35 in this stretch. Harper has also hit three home runs in this stretch and is 1st on the team with nine homers. Alec Bohm comes into the game with a team-high 35 RBIs and is batting .333 for the season.