St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 6/19/24

At 12:40 PM ET, the Cardinals and Marlins face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Cardinals are the betting favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -175 compared to the Marlins at +146. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
St. Louis will be looking for a win to move above .500, as they are 36-36, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a record of 24-49. Kyle Gibson will start for the Cardinals, while the Marlins are sending Yonny Chirinos to the mound.
MIAMI MARLINS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +146
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 12:40 ET on Wednesday, June 19th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS MARLINS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Miami rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Cardinals series. The Marlins scored three runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-8 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +114 on the money line.
Roddery Muñoz got the start for the Marlins, going just four innings while giving up six runs and striking out three. Calvin Faucher got the win out of the bullpen. Lance Lynn only went 5 1/3 innings for the Cardinals, giving up five earned runs on 10 hits.
Jesús Sánchez and Christian Bethancourt each homered for the Marlins, while Josh Bell went 2/4 with two RBIs. Tim Anderson also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.
Cardinals Records & Stats
With an overall record of 36-36, the Cardinals are 6.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. St. Louis is 9-9 in divisional games, and they will be on the road today vs. the Marlins. The Cardinals are 19-21 on the road this year and have gone 17-15 at home.
St. Louis has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 12-10-1 this year. As the road favorite, the Cardinals are 6-5 this year, and they are 18-16 when favored overall. In their series vs. the Marlins, the Cardinals are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Cardinals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.4 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs per game. Their overall run line record is .500, but they are better at covering the run line at home, where they are 18-14. As the underdog, they are 23-15 against the run line, compared to 13-21 as the favorite.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road against the Miami Marlins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 30-39 this season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-9. So far this season, 19.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their over streak is at two games.
Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 5-2 with a 3.44 ERA. Gibson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his 14 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.85 strikeouts per nine innings. Gibson most recently faced the Cubs, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
For the season, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 14th in the league, and have the 15th most home runs in the league. Heading into the game, Paul Goldschmidt and Brendan Donovan are both on three-game hitting streaks.
Nolan Gorman has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 15 home runs are 8th in the league. However, he is batting just .201. Alec Burleson has been a nice surprise for the Cardinals, as he is batting .274 with 10 home runs. Nolan Arenado is also a power threat, with six homers, and is batting .256 for the season.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 5th in the NL East, 25 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 24-49, and they are just 5-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins have dropped six straight series and are 5-17-1 in series play this year.
At home, the Marlins are 13-26 and 11-23 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going 3-12. As for their record as the underdog, they are 21-37 this year. Looking at their overall form, the Marlins are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.
The Marlins have been a solid team to bet on this season, as they are 30-43 against the run line. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 17-17. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 29-29 as the underdog this season.
When the Miami Marlins host the St. Louis Cardinals today, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have been involved in games with an average of 8.7 runs scored this season, and their over/under record is 39-33. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 15-13. In 47.9% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set lower than 8.5 runs.
Coming off a season in which he made 20 appearances and nine starts, Yonny Chirinos finished with a record of 5-5. His ERA for the season was 5.40, and he allowed a batting average of .271. In terms of quality starts, Chirinos didn’t record any. On the season, he allowed 15 home runs and finished with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.0. His WHIP for the season was 1.39, and his FIP was 5.43.
Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs per game, averaging just 3.6 runs per contest. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per game. Miami’s offense has been led by Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz, who have 10 and 12 home runs this season, respectively. Chisholm Jr. is also hitting .266 for the season and has gone 9/19 in his last six games.
Over his last six games, Bryan De La Cruz has gone just 5/25 with one home run. Miami’s lineup is also looking for Christian Bethancourt to break out of his recent slump, as he has gone just 2/11 in his last five games. Tim Anderson has gone 10/26 in his last six games and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.