San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/19/24
There are broken clouds in the forecast for Wednesday’s Padres vs. Phillies matchup in Philadelphia, where the game will be played at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are 2-0 against the Padres this season and are the heavy favorite on the money line today at -170. San Diego’s money line odds are sitting at +143, and they are 37-40 overall and 4th in the NL West.
First pitch for this one is set for 1:05 PM ET, and MLBN will be televising the game. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the Phillies will be sending Ranger Suarez to the mound vs. a Padres club that has Matt Waldron pitching.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -170
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 1:05 ET on Wednesday, June 19th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th. As for the Padres, they scored three runs in the 6th and didn’t score another run after that.
Aaron Nola started for the Phillies and went six innings while giving up three runs and striking out six. Jeff Hoffman got the win out of the bullpen, and Robert Suarez took the loss for the Padres.
Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies, while Brandon Marsh scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4. Bryson Stott also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Padres Records & Stats
After dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Phillies, the Padres overall record is 37-40, putting them 4th in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Giants by a half-game for 3rd place in the division and are 10 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead.
San Diego has dropped five straight games, and they are just 4-6 across their last 10. This season, the Padres have gone 18-21 at home compared to 19-19 on the road. As the underdog, San Diego has an even 11-11 record this year and are 24-23 when favored.
The Padres are 26-12 against the run line on the road this season, with an average scoring margin of +0.7 runs per game. They have covered the run line in each of their last three road games and are 20-10 against the run line as underdogs this season. Overall, the Padres are 39-38 against the run line this season, with an average scoring margin of +0.1 runs per game.
San Diego is on the road in Philadelphia today, where the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs. The Padres’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 38-38. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-10. Overall, 13 of their games have had higher O/U lines than today’s, accounting for 16.9% of their games.
Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 3.65. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins was a shutout performance. Opponents are batting .223 this season off Waldron. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.25 strikeouts and 2.71 walks.
So far this season, the Padres are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per game. As a team, the Padres are batting .257, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They also have the 11th best slugging percentage in the league and have been tough to strike out, as they are 5th in the league in strikeouts per game.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the Padres’ top power threats this season, as they both have 10 homers. Profar has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/18 in his last five games. Luis Arraez and Jurickson Profar are also near the top of the league in RBIs, with Profar’s 47 RBIs leading the team and being the 11th best mark in the MLB.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is 49-24 overall this season, and they lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Padres, and they are 14-7-4 in series play this year. At home, the Phillies are 29-10 this season and 20-14 on the road.
So far, the Phillies have been really good as the favorite, going 43-18 this year. As the home favorite, they are 28-8. Philadelphia has been good in night games this year, going 32-12. Their overall record includes an NL East mark of 12-6.
When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, which has helped them to a 39-34 run line record. They are 21-18 against the run line at home, where they have a scoring margin of 1.9 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 33-28 against the run line.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Philadelphia Phillies’ game against the San Diego Padres is slightly higher than their season average of 8.0 runs per game. The Phillies have played 13 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 5-9. Overall, the over/under record for Phillies games this season is 32-36.
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 10-1 with an ERA of 1.77. So far, Suárez has pitched one shutout and has nine quality starts. Looking at his overall numbers, Suárez has a WHIP of .88 and opponents are batting .180 this year. In his last outing, Suárez finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Philadelphia comes into the game as the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Phillies have been one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 2nd best batting average.
Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, hitting .400 over his last 10 games with six homers and 13 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .257 with 17 homers, which is 6th best in the league. Alec Bohm has also been swinging the bat well, as he is on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .305 for the season.