Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 6/19/24
Wednesday’s Reds vs. Pirates matchup features Hunter Greene for Cincinnati and Mitch Keller for the Pirates. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 12:35 PM ET. The money line odds have the Reds at -101 compared to the Pirates at -117, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Both teams are 35-38 heading into the game, and the Reds are favored to move to 36-38 compared to the Pirates, who are looking to move into 3rd place in the NL Central. SN PT will be televising this game, and the forecast for Wednesday’s matchup in Pittsburgh calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.
CINCINNATI REDS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -101
This game will be played at PNC Park at 12:35 ET on Wednesday, June 19th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS PIRATES:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Cincinnati picked up a 2-1 road win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a two-run 5th inning, and the Pirates could only muster one run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -125 on the money line.
Nick Lodolo started for the Reds and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but did not issue a walk. Bailey Falter got the start for the Pirates and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work.
At the plate, the Reds were led by Santiago Espinal, Jonathan India, and Luke Maile, as they were the only three Cincinnati hitters to have more than one hit. Ke’Bryan Hayes was the only Pirates hitter to have more than one hit.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is on the road today vs. the Pirates, and they are looking to get above .500, as they currently sit at 35-38. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, and they are eight games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they are 9-9 in divisional games this year.
The Reds have been good as the road favorite this year, going 7-1, and they are 19-13 as the favorite overall. Cincinnati has been favored in 32 of their games. As the road underdog, the Reds are 17-19 this year. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 8-13-2, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games, including taking the last two games of this series vs. the Pirates.
When betting on the Reds’ run line this season, it’s been best to take them on the road, where they have a 23-13 run line record compared to 15-22 at home. Overall, the Reds have a 38-35 run line record this season, with an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game. They’ve been a better play on the run line as the underdog, going 23-18 compared to 15-17 as the favorite.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road against the Pittsburgh Pirates today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.3 runs per game. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 31-39 this season, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Reds have gone 5-6. This season, 50.7% of their games have had lines set higher than 8.5 runs, while 34.2% have had lower lines. The under has hit in each of their last four games.
Hunter Greene is looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Brewers. In that outing, he went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and he finished with five strikeouts. Looking back over his last four outings, Greene has given up at least one homer in three of them. For the season, he has a record of 5-2, an ERA of 3.61, and opponents are batting .199 off the right-hander. Greene has made one complete game and five quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.73 strikeouts and 4.04 walks.
Jeimer Candelario has been on a tear of late for the Reds, going 11/32 in his last eight games with three homers and nine RBIs. He is also on a seven-game hitting streak. For the season, Candelario is batting .252, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. He and Spencer Steer are tied for the team lead in homers, with 12.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Their team batting average of .227 is 21st in the MLB, and they have the 15th ranked slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are 14th in home runs and have been a below-average offense at home, averaging just 4 runs per game.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is 35-38 overall and trails the Brewers by eight games in the NL Central. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 9-10 against other NL Central teams. The Pirates are 17-18 at home this year and 18-20 on the road.
The Pirates have dropped two straight games as the underdog, and they are 22-21 as the underdog overall. As for their record as the favorite, the Pirates are 13-17 this year. So far, their overall series record is 9-10-4. Pittsburgh is 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
When betting the run line on the Pirates, it’s been a good idea to take them as the underdog, as they are 30-13 against the run line in those games. Their overall run line record is 41-32, and they are 22-16 against the run line on the road. Their average run differential is -0.4 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 3.5 runs in their losses.
When the Pittsburgh Pirates play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Pirates have played 72 games this season, and 35 of them have gone over the total. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and when the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 13 of those 23 games. Pittsburgh has played 50 games with an over/under line set at 8 runs or lower, with 41 of those games going under the total. The under has hit in each of the Pirates’ last three games.
Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cardinals, as he gets the start for the Pirates today. Against the Cardinals, Keller took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in three straight starts. Keller has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.36 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .252 off Keller this season. One of his eight wins was a complete game, and he has eight quality starts this year.
As a team, the Pirates are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.9 runs per game. Pittsburgh’s team batting average of .231 is 18th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS. One bright spot for the Pirates is that they have the 10th best BABIP in the league.
Andrew McCutchen has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Pirates, going 8/26 in his last seven games with two homers. This has pushed his season average to .246. Bryan Reynolds comes into the game on a 16-game hitting streak and is batting .274 for the season. He also leads the team with 39 RBIs.