Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 5/4/24
At 7:15 PM from Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have an AL West matchup between the Mariners and Astros. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Mariners have a record of 17-15, while the Astros are 12-20. On the money line, the Astros are the favorite at -143.
Looking at the over/under line, it is sitting at 8 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Logan Gilbert for the Mariners and Framber Valdez for the Astros. You can catch this one on FOX.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -143
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 7:15 ET on Saturday, May 4th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Houston picked up a 5-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Mariners, they scored two of their three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -118.
Ronel Blanco started for the Astros and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Josh Hader got the save. George Kirby put together a good outing for the Mariners, giving up just one earned run across six innings of work.
Yainer Diaz and Joey Loperfido each had two hits and an RBI for the Astros’ offense. Dylan Moore had a two-run homer for the Mariners.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle will be on the road today vs. the Astros, and they are currently 17-15 overall, putting them in 1st place in the AL West. The Mariners lead the Rangers by a half-game heading into today’s matchup. Seattle has dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Orioles.
The Mariners have gone just 3-8 in day games this year, and they are 6-7 on the road compared to 11-8 at home. As the underdog, Seattle has an overall record of 6-8, and they are 2-6 as the road underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 5-4-1, and they have won five straight series.
Seattle has been a tough team to bet on the run line this season, as they are just 15-17 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 6-7 against the run line, compared to 9-10 at home. They have been favored in 18 games this season, going 8-10 against the run line, while they are 7-7 as an underdog. Their average run differential this season is +0.2 runs per game, but that number jumps to +0.5 runs per game on the road.
The Seattle Mariners have been on a remarkable under streak, with their last 10 games all finishing under the total. Their games have averaged 6.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is just 7-23. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line has been set at 8 runs is 1-4-1. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season, and 53.1% of their games have had lower lines than today’s 8-run total.
Through six starts, Logan Gilbert has a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 2.02 for the Mariners. He has made six appearances and has turned in five quality starts. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is currently 0.80. In his last outing, Gilbert finished with a no-decision after going 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and striking out nine. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been solid at home and on the road, with opponents batting .159 this season.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in team batting average and on-base percentage. Coming into the game, the Mariners have the 10th most home runs in the league, but their team ISO of .135 is just 19th in the league.
Julio Rodriguez has been one of the Mariners’ top hitters this season, batting .270 with one home run. Mitch Haniger leads the team with 18 RBIs but is hitting just .211. Over his last five games, Haniger is just 1/14. Jorge Polanco and Cal Raleigh are tied for 2nd on the team with 13 RBIs, with Polanco having five homers and Raleigh six.
Astros Records & Stats
Heading into today’s matchup vs. the Mariners, the Astros are 12-20 overall, putting them 4th in the AL West. They are five games behind the Mariners for the division lead. The Astros have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10.
So far, the Astros have gone 5-3 in divisional games. At home, they are 7-10 this year compared to a 5-10 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 10-17 and 2-3 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 4-5-1, and they have won two straight series.
When the Astros win, they win big, averaging a 5.0 run differential in those games. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs. Their overall run line record is 12-20, with a -0.4 run differential. They are 7-10 against the run line at home, and 5-10 on the road. They have covered the run line in their last two games, and are 2-0 against the run line as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Astros-Mariners game is the lowest of the season for Houston. The Astros’ games have had an average of 9.6 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 10-20. They have had just two games with over/under lines lower than 8 runs this season, and 90.6% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs.
Framber Valdez is getting the start for the Astros today at home against the Mariners. Valdez is 1-0 on the season, and in his last start, he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 5 hits and struck out 6 batters.
Jose Altuve has been on a tear of late for the Astros, batting .324 over his last eight games, including two homers. Overall, he is batting .348 for the season and has gone deep seven times. Kyle Tucker has also been a key power source for Houston, as his eight homers are the best mark on the team and 3rd best in the MLB. Tucker also comes into the game with a nine-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Astros are 2nd in the league in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Houston has also done a great job of putting the ball in play this season, as they are the league’s hardest team to strike out.