Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 5/4/24
At 7:10 PM from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, we have an American League matchup between the Rangers and Royals. The forecast for Saturday night calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid-50s. Texas comes in with a record of 17-16, while the Royals are 20-13.
Michael Wacha is starting for the Royals, and he is facing off against Dane Dunning for the Rangers. Currently, the over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Rangers are the slight favorite on the money line at -116.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -105
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 7:10 ET on Saturday, May 4th.
HOW TO BET THE RANGERS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a seven-run 7th inning for the Royals’ offense, they cruised to a 7-1 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -118 on the money line.
Kansas City got to Texas starter Michael Lorenzen, who gave up seven earned runs in just six innings of work and took the loss. As for the Royals, they got a good outing from Brady Singer, who gave up just one earned run across six innings of work and got the win.
Salvador Perez and Hunter Renfroe each homered for the Royals, while Kyle Isbel scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4. Maikel Garcia also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for Kansas City’s offense.
Rangers Records & Stats
Texas is on the road today vs. the Royals, and they are 17-16 overall, putting them just a half-game behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they are just 5-8 in divisional games. The Rangers are currently playing in their second straight series, and their overall series record is 5-4-1 this year.
At home, the Rangers have gone 10-9 this year compared to a 7-7 mark on the road. Texas has been good as the favorite this year, going 9-8, and they are an even 8-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall performance, the Rangers are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.8 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. Overall, their average run margin is +0.4 runs per game, but it’s been a tale of two cities for bettors, as they are 15-18 against the run line. They are 8-11 against the run line at home, where their average run margin is +1.2 runs per game, and 7-7 against the run line on the road, where their average run margin is -0.7 runs per game. They are 6-11 against the run line as the favorite and 9-7 against the run line as the underdog.
The Texas Rangers have played 19 games this season with over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs, and the over/under record in those games is 13-19. The over/under record for the season is 3-6 when the line is set at 8.5 runs. The Rangers have gone under the total in their last three games, and the average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs.
Through six starts, Dane Dunning has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 4.13 for the Rangers. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he only gave up one earned run. In that outing vs. the Reds, Dunning went 5 1/3 innings and picked up the win. Looking back at his last three outings, he has given up just one earned run in two of them. Dunning’s ERA for the season is 3.82 on the road compared to 4.68 at home. So far, he has walked 4.41 batters per nine innings compared to 10.74 strikeouts.
Adolis García has been a big power threat for the Rangers this season, as he is 3rd in the league with 8 homers and comes into the game with a team-leading batting average of .291. He has also gone deep in one of his last five games, going 5/17 overall in that stretch. Marcus Semien is also a player to watch, as he is 2nd on the team with five homers and is batting .255 for the season. Semien is currently on a four-game hitting streak.
For the season, the Rangers are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have been a pretty good home run hitting team so far. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 7th in the league, and have the 9th ranked on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the league.
Royals Records & Stats
With an overall record of 20-13, the Royals are 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by just a half-game. The Royals have won three straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games, which is tied for the best mark in the AL Central with the Guardians.
This season, the Royals have been good at home, putting together a record of 13-5. They have also been good as the home underdog, going 8-4 this year. Kansas City has won four straight games at home. As for their record as the underdog overall, they are 13-10 and 7-3 when favored.
The Royals are a team that has been profitable on the run line this season, going 22-11 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 12-6 on the run line. Their average run margin is +1.7 runs per game, and they have been especially good on the run line as the underdog, going 16-7 so far this season.
The Kansas City Royals have been trending towards the under, with their games averaging 7.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 10-21, and when the line is set at 8.5, they are 3-10. Their games have had an average line of 8 runs, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in 24.2% of their games. Their last three games have gone under the total, and their games have gone under in 36.4% of the time when the line is set at 8.5 runs.
Michael Wacha gets the start for the Royals today and is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers. In that start, which came on the road, he took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Looking back over his last four outings, Wacha has given up at least two homers in three of those starts. His ERA for the season is 4.24, along with a record of 1-3. Wacha’s WHIP for the season is 1.32. So far, he has made two appearances at home, coming in with a record of 1-0 and 2.08 ERA.
Salvador Perez has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his eight homers are 3rd in the league and the best mark on the Royals. He is also hitting .351, which is the best mark on the team. Bobby Witt Jr. has also been a key contributor to the offense, as he is batting .318 and has gone 9/24 in his last six games. Witt Jr. is also 2nd on the team with four homers.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better at home, where they are averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 2nd best strikeout rate. Currently, Perez is on a four-game hitting streak, while Witt Jr. has hits in seven straight games.