New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 5/4/24

At 7:15 PM from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an interleague matchup between the Mets and Rays. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Mets are 16-16, while the Rays are 15-18. On the money line, the Rays are the slight favorite at -117.

Christian Scott will go for the Mets, and he is facing off against Zack Littell for the Rays. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and you can catch this one on FOX.

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline -117

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 7:15 ET on Saturday, May 4th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS RAYS:

• We have the Rays winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Rays series. New York had a late rally but still fell short with the Rays winning 10-8 at home. Heading into the game, the Rays were favored at -149 on the money line.

Tampa Bay got to Mets starter Jose Quintana, who gave up eight earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work and took the loss. As for the Rays, Aaron Civale only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just one earned run. He did not factor in the decision.

Randy Arozarena and Amed Rosario each had three hits and two RBIs for the Rays. Jonny DeLuca also drove in three runs while going 1/4. New York’s top hitter was Brett Baty, who went 3/4 with two homers.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are on the road today vs. the Rays, and they are looking to get above .500, as they currently sit at 16-16. In the NL East, they are 5.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead, and they trail the Braves by 5 games for the 2nd spot in the division. So far, they are 2-1 in division games.

New York has won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 10-8 when favored this year. As for their record as the underdog, they are 6-8, which includes an overall road record of 7-6. The Mets are also 9-10 at home this season. Currently, they are 5-4-1 in series matchups.

When betting the Mets on the run line, it’s been a coin flip overall, but they’ve been a better bet on the road, where they are 8-5. They’ve been a better bet as an underdog overall, going 8-6, but they’ve been a better bet as a favorite on the run line on the road, where they are 8-5. Their average run differential is +0.2 overall, but it’s been +0.5 on the road. Their average run differential in wins is +3.4, while it’s -3.1 in losses.

When the Mets and Rays met on Tuesday, they combined for 18 runs, pushing the game over the 8-run total. In their last two games, the Mets have gone over the total, and they have a 16-16 over/under record on the season. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season.

Christian Scott takes the mound for the Mets in today’s game versus the Rays. It’s his opportunity to start the season on the right foot, as this will be his first outing of the year.

So far, the Mets have been one of the best road offenses in the league, averaging 5.8 runs per game away from home. However, they have struggled at home, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. Overall, they are 16th in the league at 4.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 13th in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in home runs.

Brandon Nimmo has been swinging a hot bat for the Mets, hitting .280 over his last seven games, including one home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .217 but has an OBP of .366. Pete Alonso is 3rd in the league with eight home runs but is hitting just .220, and Francisco Lindor is also batting below the Mendoza line at .208.

Rays Records & Stats

Tampa Bay will host the Mets today with an overall record of 15-18, and they are 6.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division, tied with the Blue Jays for 4th place. The Rays have gone 3-4 in divisional matchups this year.

The Rays have won two straight games at home, evening their home record at 9-9. So far on the road, they are 6-9 this season. Tampa Bay has struggled when favored this year, going 11-14. As for their record as the underdog, they are 4-4. The Rays are just 3-7 over their last 10 games and have an overall series record of 3-5-2, and they have lost four straight series.

When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.3 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.2 runs per game. They are 12-21 against the run line this season, including a 6-12 mark at home. They have covered the run line in their last two home games and are 5-3 against the run line as an underdog.

With an over/under line of 8 runs, the Tampa Bay Rays have played 8 games with that line this season and have gone over the total in 6 of them. The Rays’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the year is 19-14. The over has hit in 57.6% of their games this season.

Zack Littell is starting for the Rays today and comes into the game with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 3.27. Looking back at his last outing, Littell took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing. Littell has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 9.55 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has given up a total of three homers. At home, his ERA is 4.09 compared to 2.29 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Rays offense is averaging 3.9 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .243, which is the 10th best mark in the league. However, they are just 16th in home runs and are near the bottom of the league in terms of isolated power.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays offense so far, as he is batting .283 and is 4th in the league with seven home runs. Over his last seven games, he has gone 9/29. Amed Rosario is hitting .309 and has two homers, and his 15 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team.