There looks to be some rain in the forecast for tonight's Pirates vs Phillies NL matchup. The forecast from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia calls for temperatures in the low 60s. The Pirates currently have a record of 9-3 and are up against a Phillies club that is 6-6. This game can be seen on MLBN, with the first pitch set for 6:40 PM.

Starting for the Phillies on Thursday night is Ranger Suarez, and he is matched up against Jared Jones for the Pirates. Suarez and the Phillies are the favorite in this one, coming in with a money line payout of -147. Pittsburgh's money line odds are currently at +123. The over/under line is sitting at 9 runs.


The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -147

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Thursday, April 11th.


  • We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Pirates Records & Stats

The Pirates closed out their series vs. the Tigers with a tough 5-3 loss. This game was closer than the final score indicates, as the Pirates were only losing 1-0 heading into the 9th before the Tigers scored four times in their half of the 9th. Pittsburgh's offense was able to scratch across three runs in the bottom of the 9th, but it wasn't enough to pull off the comeback.

Martín Pérez was handed the loss but pitched well for the Pirates, giving up just one earned run in his eight innings of action. He struck out seven Tigers batters and allowed one home run. Offensively, Edward Olivares went 2/4 with two homers and two RBIs, and Ke'Bryan Hayes went 2/4 with a run scored and drove in one run.

The Pirates are off to a great start this season, as they have a record of 9-3 and are currently in first place in the NL Central. They have been especially good on the road, going 6-1, and have won three straight series. Overall, they have won three straight series and have a series record of 3-0.

When they have been the underdog, the Pirates have been even better, going 7-1, and they have been especially good on the road as the underdog, going 5-0. They have also been good in day games, going 7-2.

When the Pirates win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 2.9 runs per game. They have a run line record of 9-3 this season, including a 6-1 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in seven of eight games as the underdog.

The Pirates have played 12 games with over/under lines set at 9 runs, but the O/U record in those games is 0-0. Their games have had an average of 9.9 runs scored per game this season, and their O/U record is 8-4 overall. The average O/U line in their games this season has been 8 runs per game.

Jared Jones is getting the start today for the Pirates, and he has been solid in his first two outings of the season. He picked up a win in his first start, going 5 2/3 innings and striking out 10. Then, in his last start, he went 6 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 7.

When looking at the Pirates' player projections for today's game, we see that Ke'Bryan Hayes is not only projected to have the most hits for the Pirates, but his total is the 3rd highest in the league today. Bryan Reynolds is our Pirates player with the highest home run projection, and his odds to hit a home run are 8th best in the league. Michael A. Taylor's home run projection is 10th best in the league, and he has the 2nd best odds on the Pirates to hit a home run. Oneil Cruz is our 8th best player in terms of odds to hit a home run today, and his odds are the best on the Pirates.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia closed out their series with the Cardinals by picking up a 4-3 win. Going into the game, they were favored at -139 on the money line. This game got tense at the end, as the Cardinals pulled to within one run in the 8th inning, but Jeff Hoffman was able to close things out and earned the save.

Aaron Nola put together a quality start for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. He finished the game with three strikeouts and allowed one home run. Offensively, J.T. Realmuto went 2/5 with two runs scored.

Philadelphia is coming off a series where they took two out of three games from the Cardinals. They are currently 6-6 and are two games behind the Braves for first place in the NL East. The Phillies have been better on the road this season, going 4-2 compared to just 2-4 at home.

When playing as the favorite, Philadelphia is 4-4, but they are just 1-2 when they are the favorite at home. Overall, the Phillies are 2-2 when they are the underdog.

When the Phillies win, they win big, averaging a 2.7 run margin in their victories. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of four runs per game. Their run line record is 5-7, but they are just 2-4 at home. As the favorite, they are just 3-5 against the run line.

The Phillies have played 12 games with a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 5-7. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and they have had 7 straight games go under the total. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and they have not had a game with an over/under line of 9 runs.

Ranger Suárez is getting the start for the Phillies at home against the Pirates. He has started 2 games so far this season, and in his most recent outing, he picked up a win vs. the Nationals. In that game, he went 6 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 4 hits, with 4 strikeouts.

For the Phillies, we have Trea Turner as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His total hits projection is 2nd best in the league today. We also have Bryce Harper's home run projection as the 3rd best in the league today. Kyle Schwarber has the best home run projection on the Phillies and the 3rd best in the league.