There looks to be some rain in the forecast for tonight's Orioles vs Red Sox AL East matchup. The forecast from Fenway Park in Boston calls for temperatures in the low 50s. The Orioles currently have a record of 7-4 and are up against a Red Sox club that is 7-5. This game can be seen on MASN, with the first pitch set for 7:10 PM ET.

Starting for the Orioles on Thursday night is Grayson Rodriguez, and he is matched up against Garrett Whitlock for the Red Sox. Baltimore is the favorite in this one, coming in with a money line payout of -125. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.


The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline +104

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Thursday, April 11th.


  • We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

The Orioles and Red Sox played a high-scoring game in the previous matchup of this series, with the Orioles coming out on top by a score of 7-5. Despite being outhit by the Red Sox, the Orioles were able to pull out the win. Jordan Westburg had a big game, going 2/3 with a home run and three RBIs.

Neither starter factored into the decision, as Cole Irvin gave up five earned runs in five innings of work for the Orioles, while Kutter Crawford went five innings and didn't allow a run for the Red Sox. Mike Baumann got the win out of the bullpen for the Orioles, and Craig Kimbrel picked up the save.

The Red Sox tied things up heading into the 8th inning, but the Orioles put up four runs in the 7th inning and added an insurance run in the 6th. Triston Casas hit a home run for the Red Sox, while both Jarren Duran and Connor Wong drove in two runs.

Orioles Records & Stats

Currently, the Orioles are on the road and have a 2.0 game lead over the Red Sox in the AL East. The Orioles have won two straight games and are 7-4 overall. They have a 2-0 record in the division, and their overall road record is 3-2.

So far, the Orioles have taken two of three from the Red Sox in this series. Overall, they are 2-1 in series this season.

The Orioles have been a solid play on the run line this season, going 6-5 overall. They have been particularly profitable on the road, where they are 3-2 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +2.1 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in their last two road games.

Through their first nine games, the Orioles have gone 5-4 against the over/under line, with an average line of 8 runs. Their games have averaged exactly 9 runs per contest, and their last game against the Red Sox went over the line of 9 runs. So far this season, the O/U line has been set at 9 runs only once, and that game went over the total.

Grayson Rodriguez is getting the start for the Orioles on the road against the Red Sox. He has been fantastic in his first two outings of the season, as he has picked up wins in both starts. Rodriguez has 16 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings of work and has only given up 2 earned runs in each of his first two starts.

When looking at the Orioles' offensive projections, Gunnar Henderson is a player to watch, as he has the highest hits projection on the team and the 12th highest in the league today. He also has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run on the team and the 9th best in the league. Anthony Santander has the top home run projection for the Orioles and the 7th best in the league.

Red Sox Records & Stats

After dropping the first two games of the series to the Orioles, the Red Sox will look to get back on track as they are currently on a two-game losing streak. Overall, they are 7-5 and are currently in 3rd place in the AL East, 2.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. They have struggled at home, going 0-2, but have been solid on the road, going 7-3.

So far this season, the Red Sox have been favored in six of their games and have gone 5-1 in those contests, but they have gone just 2-4 as an underdog. They have also been playing well in series, going 2-0-1, and have won their last two series.

The Red Sox have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 8-4 overall. However, they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going 0-2. Their average run margin for the season is +1.5, but they have been outscored by an average of 4.0 runs per game at home, where they are 0-2 against the run line.

The Red Sox and Orioles combined for 12 runs in their last game, pushing the over/under line of 9.0 runs. This season, the Red Sox have a combined run average of 7.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 6-5. The average over/under line in their games has been 8.0 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.0 runs is 1-0. So far this season, none of their games have had an over/under line set at 9.0 runs.

Garrett Whitlock gets the start for the Red Sox today, as they take on the Orioles at home. Whitlock has been solid in his two starts so far, as he picked up a win in his first outing against the Mariners, and then went 4 1/3 innings without allowing a run in his last start against the Angels.

Our model is giving Triston Casas the best chance to have a big game at the plate for the Red Sox. Not only is he our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, but he also has the best odds on the team to hit a home run, with his home run projection ranking 6th in the league today. Rafael Devers is also near the top of our projections, as his total hits and home run projections are both 2nd best on the team and 9th best in the league today. If you're looking for a longshot to hit a home run, Enmanuel Valdez is 2nd on the team and 8th in the league in terms of home run projections.