New York Yankees vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 6/25/24

The forecast from New York on Tuesday calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 90s. First pitch for this interleague matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York. The Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -146 compared to the Mets at +123. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
New York (AL) is currently 1st in the AL East with a record of 52-28, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East at 37-39. SNY will be televising Tuesday’s game, and the pitching matchup features Gerrit Cole for the Yankees and David Peterson for the Mets.
NEW YORK METS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline +123
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, June 25th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 3-1 loss. New York was the slight favorite at -118 on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Braves scored three times in the third.
Nestor Cortes was excellent for the Yankees, going seven innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out seven. However, the Yankees offense scored only one run, and it came in the 6th inning. Trent Grisham and Ben Rice each had two hits. Grisham scored the team’s only run and Rice drove him in.
The Yankees are 52-28 overall, good for a two-game lead over the Orioles in the AL East. New York will be on the road today, taking on the Mets. The Yankees lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Braves.
So far, the Yankees have gone 10-12 in AL East games. New York has been good as the favorite this year, going 40-22, including 17-10 as the favorite on the road. As for their overall record on the road, the Yankees are 28-14 compared to a 24-14 mark at home. Heading into today’s game, the Yankees have dropped two straight on the road.
While the Yankees have a positive run differential of 1.4 runs per game overall, they have been even better on the road, outscoring opponents by an average of 1.8 runs per game. Their run line record on the road is 26-16, and they have covered the run line in 14 of 18 games as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line for the Yankees-Mets game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below the teams’ combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. The over/under record for the Yankees is 39-39 on the season, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 18 times and under 14 times. Overall, 23.8% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
After starting his season with a no-decision against the Orioles, Gerrit Cole will be on the road for his second start of the year, as the Yankees take on the Mets. In his first start, Cole went 4 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 5.
So far this season, the Yankees have been the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also one of the top offensive clubs in terms of scoring runs, averaging 5 runs per game. New York is especially dangerous on the road, where they are averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees are batting .250, which is 7th in the league, and they are also the league’s top team in terms of drawing walks.
Not only do the Yankees have the league’s top home run hitter in Aaron Judge, but they also have Juan Soto and Giancarlo Stanton, who are 2nd and 7th in the league in homers, respectively. Judge and Soto are also near the top of the league in RBIs, as Judge leads the league with 70 RBIs, and Soto is 5th with 56. Judge has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/24 with three homers over his last seven games. Stanton is currently on a 10-game hitting streak.
Mets Records & Stats
New York is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Cubs with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -108 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that turned things in their favor, and the Cubs could only score two runs, both of which came in the 7th.
Luis Severino put together a good start for the Mets, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out 10 Cubs batters. New York’s offense was carried by Francisco Lindor, who went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
The Mets are 37-39 overall, which has them 14.0 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they are 11-10 in divisional matchups. New York is coming off winning their series vs. the Cubs, taking two of three games. Currently, they have a five-game winning streak as the underdog, and they are 4-10 as the underdog at home this year.
At home, the Mets are 18-23 this year compared to 19-16 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 20-19 and 17-20 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 12-12-3, and they have won five straight series overall, which includes winning four straight series on the road.
The Mets have been a profitable run line team on the road this season, going 21-14 for bettors. Their overall run line record is 35-41, with an average run margin of -0.0 runs per game. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 22-15 against the run line, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.3 runs per game.
With a combined run average of 9.3, the New York Mets and New York Yankees have been involved in high-scoring games this season. The over/under record for Mets games this season is 38-36, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, and the Mets have gone 9-9 in games with that line this season. The under has hit in the last two Mets games.
David Peterson will be making his fourth start of the season, and he has picked up a win in each of his first three outings. The Mets’ lefty has gone 5 innings in each of his first two starts, and then went 6 2/3 in his last time out. He has given up a total of 3 home runs on the year.
Brandon Nimmo has been on a tear for the Mets of late, going 12/29 in his last seven games with four home runs and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .244 and is 3rd on the team with 11 homers. Nimmo’s 43 RBIs are the most on the team. Pete Alonso is right behind him in terms of RBIs, with 42, and his 16 homers are the best on the team and 9th in the league.
As a team, the Mets are 10th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are batting a collective .248.