Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 6/25/24

Both the Pirates and Reds will be looking to pick up a win and snap their two-game losing streaks when they square off at 7:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. However, the forecast doesn’t look great in Cincinnati, as there figures to be a chance of thunderstorms. Mitch Keller will go for the Pirates, and he is facing Hunter Greene. The Reds are the slight money line favorite.

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and BSOH will be televising this NL Central matchup. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, while the Pirates are 3rd with an overall record of 37-41.

CINCINNATI REDS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -124

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, June 25th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cincinnati cruised to an easy 11-5 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their eleven runs. As for the Pirates, they scored their final two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -134 on the money line.

Carson Spiers pitched well for the Reds in this one, going six innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Bailey Falter had a rough outing for the Pirates, taking the loss.

Oneil Cruz hit the game’s only home run while going 2/5 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Cincinnati’s offense was led by Elly De La Cruz, who went 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 37-41 overall and is 8.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates lost the first game of this series vs. the Reds and are 10-11 in divisional games this year. So far, they have gone 19-20 at home compared to 18-21 on the road.

As the underdog, the Pirates are 22-23 this year, and they are 15-18 when favored. Pittsburgh has dropped two straight games, and their longest losing streak as the underdog this year is four games. They have an overall series record of 10-11-4 this year.

When the Pirates are the underdog, they are a solid bet on the run line, going 30-15. They are 22-17 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.3 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 41-37, and their average run differential is -0.5 runs per game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for Pirates games this season. Overall, Pittsburgh’s over/under record is 37-40, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-11. So far this season, 55.1% of Pirates games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5 runs.

Mitch Keller gets the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 8-4 with an ERA of 3.11. Keller’s WHIP for the season is 1.20, and he has one complete game shutout this year. In his last outing, Keller finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and not giving up a run to the Reds. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Keller’s ERA on the road is 3.95, compared to 2.65 at home.

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .228 and have the 19th ranked on-base percentage in the league. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters in Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz.

Reynolds has been hot of late, going 9/21 in his last six games with three homers. He is also on a 21 game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .278 with 12 homers and 44 RBIs. Cruz is 2nd on the team with 11 homers but is batting just .243 for the season.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 37-41 overall and are 4th in the NL Central, 8.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. So far, they are 10-10 in divisional games. The Reds are looking to pick up a win today and move back to .500 at home, as they are currently 20-21 on the year.

So far, the Reds have gone 17-27 as the underdog, compared to a mark of 20-14 as the favorite. Cincinnati has dropped three straight series and have an overall series record of 8-15-2 this year. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games overall.

When betting the Reds on the run line, it’s been profitable to take them on the road, where they are 24-13. Their overall run line record is 42-36, with an average run margin of 0.2. They have been a good run line bet as an underdog, going 26-18, compared to 16-18 as the favorite.

The Cincinnati Reds are at home today against the Pittsburgh Pirates with an over/under line of 8.5. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.3, and their over/under record is 33-42. When the over/under line is set at 8.5, their record is 5-6. The over has hit in two straight games for the Reds.

Hunter Greene is coming off a start in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Pirates on June 19th, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up just two hits and two walks. Greene finished with nine strikeouts in the outing. He didn’t give up a homer in the start. Looking back further, he has given up a homer in three straight starts. Greene’s ERA for the season is 3.35, along with a record of 5-2. For the year, he has one complete game and six quality starts. Greene’s ERA at home is 3.98, compared to 2.68 on the road.

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 8/25 in his last six games, including two home runs. For the season, he is batting .249 with 14 homers, which is 11th in the league. De La Cruz’s 35 RBIs is 3rd on the team. Jeimer Candelario is also tied for the team lead with 14 homers and is 2nd on the team with 38 RBIs, but he has gone just 5/22 in his last six games.

Jonathan India is on a six-game hitting streak and has gone 11/23 in his last six games. For the season, he is batting .278 and is 3rd on the team with 36 RBIs. As a team, the Reds are 17th in scoring at 4.3 runs per game and have a team batting average of just .228.