Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/25/24
The forecast for Tuesday’s Braves vs. Cardinals matchup calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 90s. This one is getting started at 7:45 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Braves are favored on the money line (-138).
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Cardinals will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak with a victory. However, they are +117 on the money line. As for the Braves, they are 43-33 and 2nd in the NL East. Kyle Gibson is starting for the Cardinals, while the Braves are sending Reynaldo Lopez to the mound.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline +117
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Tuesday, June 25th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
St. Louis picked up a 4-3 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a big 3rd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Braves, they scored one run in the 5th and added two more in the 9th.
Lance Lynn started for the Cardinals and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued zero walks. As for the Braves, Spencer Schwellenbach got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
Austin Riley hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Brendan Donovan also had a three-hit game for the Cardinals.
Braves Records & Stats
With an overall record of 43-33, the Braves are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Atlanta lost the first game of this series vs. the Cardinals and are 12-11 in divisional matchups this year. The Braves have been playing well lately, going 7-3 over their last ten games.
At home, the Braves have gone 24-13 this season, and they are just above .500 at 19-20 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 40-27, compared to 3-6 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 15-8-2, and they have won three straight series.
When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. But when they lose, it’s not close, as their average run margin in losses is -3.4. Overall, Atlanta has a run line record of 37-39, with a scoring margin of +0.6 runs per game. Their run line record on the road is 20-19, and they are 5-4 against the run line as an underdog.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves have a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-45. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 8-15. So far this season, 42.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, while 27.6% have had lower lines. The under is currently on a two-game streak.
Reynaldo López is coming off a strong outing for the Braves, as he didn’t give up a run in five innings of work vs. the Tigers on June 19th. He ended up with the win in that outing. Looking at his overall numbers, López has made 13 starts and has a record of 5-2. His ERA for the season is an impressive 1.57, along with a WHIP of 1.08. This year, opponents are batting .208 vs. López. The right-hander has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed four homers and is averaging 2.78 walks per nine innings.
Marcell Ozuna has been a huge part of the Braves’ lineup this season, as he is batting .314 with 21 homers and 64 RBIs, which is 3rd in the MLB. Ozuna is also on a three-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 12 homers and has gone deep four times in his last eight games while hitting .246 for the season.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team this season and are batting a combined .245. As a team, they are 6th in slugging percentage and have the 6th best isolated power (ISO) in the league.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is currently 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by five games. The Cardinals have an overall record of 40-37 and have won four straight games, including taking the first game of this series vs. the Braves. So far, they are 9-9 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Cardinals are 21-15 this year and 19-22 on the road. St. Louis has won six straight games at home, and they are 7-4 as the home underdog this year. As for their overall record as the underdog, the Cardinals are an even 20-20.
St. Louis has been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 40-37. They have been particularly good at home, going 22-14 on the run line in their own ballpark. They have covered the run line in eight straight home games and have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 25-15 on the run line in those games.
When the St. Louis Cardinals are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is their combined run average for the season. The over/under record for the Cardinals this season is 33-41, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Cardinals have a record of 15-9. So far this season, 22.1% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs.
Kyle Gibson is getting the start for the Cardinals today and comes into the game with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.44. So far, he has made 14 starts and eight of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, Gibson was fantastic, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He only allowed two hits in that outing. Looking back further, he has only given up more than three earned runs once in his last five outings. Gibson’s ERA at home is 4.07 compared to 2.82 on the road.
St. Louis’ offense is averaging just 4 runs per game this season, which is 23rd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is just 17th in the league. So far, their offense has been very average in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Both Brendan Donovan and Alec Burleson have been swinging the bat well of late, with Donovan going 15/34 and Burleson going 12/29 over their last eight games, respectively. Nolan Gorman is the team’s leader in home runs, but he is batting just .195 so far this season.