New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/21/24
Christian Scott is starting for the Mets on Sunday, and they are facing off against the Marlins, who will have Trevor Rogers on the mound. This NL East matchup has a start time of 1:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Marlins are 5th in the NL East, while the Mets are 3rd.
New York is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. This game will be televised on BSFL, and the Mets are 50-47 this season, while the Marlins are 34-64.
NEW YORK METS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -150
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, July 21st.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS MARLINS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
New York picked up a 1-0 road win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had just one more hit than the Marlins and struck out nine times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -165 on the money line.
Luis Severino started for the Mets and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued three walks. Edwin Díaz closed things out for New York.
Roddery Muñoz only went five innings for the Marlins but gave up just one run and took the loss. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks.
Mets Records & Stats
New York is 50-47 overall and is 11.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Mets are 3rd in the division and have gone 17-13 in divisional games. The Mets will look to pick up a win today on the road, as they are 1 game under .500 at 26-26 at home.
As the Mets have been good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 31-25. They are 19-22 as the underdog and have gone 11-9 as the road favorite. The Mets’ overall series record is 15-12-5, and they have won two straight series.
The Mets have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 24-21, compared to 21-31 at home. They have a run line record of 21-35 as the favorite, but are 24-17 as the underdog. The average run margin in their games is just 0.1 runs per game, with a scoring margin of 0.2 runs per game on the road and 0.0 runs per game at home. Their average run margin in wins is +3.4 runs per game, while it drops to -3.3 runs per game in losses.
The Mets have played in 23 games this season where the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 16-10. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 52-42.
Right-hander Christian Scott gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 4.36. Scott’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Scott has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .233 off Scott this season. Out of his eight starts, Scott has three quality starts and is averaging 7.27 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 6th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are 5th in the league in home runs and have the 7th best team batting average in the league.
Over the last six games, Jeff McNeil and Harrison Bader have each homered twice, but McNeil has hit .286 over that stretch, compared to just .167 for Bader. Jose Iglesias has gone 9/15 in his last five games and is currently on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are the team’s top power threats, with 19 and 17 homers, respectively.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 34-64 overall and is 28 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they are just 8-20 against other NL East teams. The Marlins are currently in 5th place in the division, just ahead of the Nationals.
At home, the Marlins are 19-32 compared to a 15-32 mark on the road. This season, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-13. As for their record as the underdog, they are 30-51 so far. The Marlins’ overall series record is 7-21-2, and they have dropped two straight series.
When betting the Marlins on the run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 42-39 against the run line in that spot. They are just 2-15 when favored on the run line. Miami has covered the run line in four straight games at home and is 21-30 against the run line at home this season. The Marlins’ average run margin in winning games is +2.6, while it’s -3.8 in losing games.
The Miami Marlins are hosting the New York Mets today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins’ games have averaged 8.5 runs this season, and their over/under record is 52-44. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-15. So far this season, 17.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Trevor Rogers gets the start for the Marlins today vs. the Mets and comes in with a record of 1-9 and ERA of 4.72. Looking back at his last outing, Rogers finished with a no-decision vs. the Reds, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. He only walked two batters in that outing. Rogers has made 19 starts this season and has three quality starts. The left-hander is averaging 7.46 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.15 walks.
The Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.5 runs per game (29th). They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .233, and they have the worst team ISO in the league. However, they do have a couple of hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, with Jake Burger batting .450 over his last five games, including two homers.
Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are the Marlins’ top home run hitters this season, with 16 and 12 homers, respectively. De La Cruz’s 44 RBIs are the best on the team, and Chisholm Jr. is right behind him with 42 RBIs. Heading into the game, Jesús Sánchez has the longest active hitting streak for the Marlins at seven games.