Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/21/24

There does appear to be a chance of rain for Sunday’s White Sox vs. Royals game in Kansas City, as the forecasted temperature is 63 degrees. Drew Thorpe will start for the White Sox, and the Royals are starting Seth Lugo. The money line odds have the Royals as the heavy favorite, with their odds sitting at -224 compared to the White Sox at +188. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is set for 2:10 PM ET, and NBCS will be televising this AL Central matchup. The White Sox are 5th in the AL Central with a record of 27-73, while the Royals are 3rd at 54-45.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 2:10 ET on Sunday, July 21st.
HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Thanks to a three-run first inning for the Royals’ offense, they cruised to an easy 6-1 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -246 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Brady Singer for the Royals, and he went seven innings while giving up just one run and striking out seven. Singer picked up a win in the game, while Jonathan Cannon went six innings for the White Sox, giving up four runs on eight hits.
Kansas City got a big performance from Bobby Witt Jr., as he went 3/4 with a run scored and an RBI. Both Salvador Perez and Hunter Renfroe each drove in two for the Royals’ offense.
White Sox Records & Stats
With a record of 27-73, the White Sox are 33.5 games out of the AL Central lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-27. Chicago’s losing streak currently sits at six games, and they have dropped four straight on the road.
Chicago has really struggled in day games this year, going 10-34, and they are just 5-3 as the favorite. As for playing as the underdog, the White Sox are 22-70 this year. Coming into today’s game, they have dropped four straight series and have an overall series record of 6-23-2.
When the White Sox are on the road, they are 20-29 against the run line. They have failed to cover the run line in four straight road games. They are 5-3 against the run line when favored, but just 39-53 against the run line when they are the underdog.
Chicago White Sox games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 44-52. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the White Sox are 12-13. Today’s over/under line is 8.5 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Drew Thorpe is getting the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.58 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting just .157 off Thorpe this season, and he has turned in four quality starts. In his most recent outing, Thorpe finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been better on the road, coming in with a 5.53 ERA compared to 3.0 at home.
Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.2 runs per game, which is dead last in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.1 runs per contest. As a team, the White Sox are batting just .220, and their on-base percentage of .282 is also the worst in the league.
Paul DeJong and Luis Robert Jr. are 1-2 on the team in home runs, but both are batting just .224 and .232, respectively. Andrew Vaughn is also near the top of the team’s home run list, with 11, but he is batting just .235 for the season. Currently, Martín Maldonado is on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 3/6 with two homers over the team’s last three games.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 3rd in the AL Central, one game behind the Twins for 2nd place and five games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Royals are 54-45 overall, and they have gone 18-10 against other teams in the AL Central. The Royals have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10.
At home, the Royals are 33-18 this season, and they have gone 21-27 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 28-15 this year and 26-30 as the underdog. Kansas City has won four straight games as the favorite. So far, they are 19-7 as the home favorite.
When the Royals are at home, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 31-20. Their average run margin at home is 1.2, and they have covered the run line in their last two home games. As the favorite, they are 23-20 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 34-22.
The Kansas City Royals are playing at home against the Chicago White Sox today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for Royals games this season. Kansas City games have gone over the line in 10 of 29 games where the line was set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 40-56. The Royals have gone under the line in five straight games.
Seth Lugo will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox, as he gets the start for the Royals today. In that start, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, Lugo had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Guardians and not giving up a run in six innings of work. He has made 20 appearances this year and has a record of 11-4 with a 2.48 ERA. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is 1.09, and he has a batting average allowed of .226. For the year, he has given up 11 homers and is averaging 8.22 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Royals have been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, as they have the 17th best home run total in the league and are 2nd in the league in home runs. As a team, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. The Royals are also the league’s top contact hitting team, averaging just six strikeouts per game.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 17 home runs are the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. He is also batting .332 for the season and is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Witt Jr. has gone 11/23 over his last six games, with two homers and five RBIs. Salvador Perez is also batting .283 for the season and has 17 homers, which is also tied for the team lead.