Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 7/21/24

There appears to be a chance of rain in Chicago on Sunday, where the Cubs and Diamondbacks will face off at Wrigley Field. The money line odds have the Cubs as the favorite (-129), while the Diamondbacks are at +111. First pitch is set for 2:20 PM ET, and MARQ will be televising this NL matchup.

Arizona will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak with Brandon Pfaadt on the mound, while the Cubs are starting Shota Imanaga. The Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West, while the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +111

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 2:20 ET on Sunday, July 21st.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS CUBS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Arizona cruised to a 3-0 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 5th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Cubs, they had just four hits and were shut out.

Zac Gallen started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued six walks. Kyle Hendricks got the start for the Cubs and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.

Alek Thomas and Corbin Carroll were the only two Diamondbacks hitters to have more than one hit. Thomas and Thomas both scored a run and drove in a run. As for the Cubs, Miguel Amaya went 2/3.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is currently seven games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, and they lead the Cubs 2-0 in their series heading into today’s game. The Diamondbacks are 51-48 overall, putting them seven games above .500. They have gone 7-3 across their last ten games and have an NL West division record of 19-14.

So far, the Diamondbacks have been pretty even at home and on the road, as they are both one game above .500. Arizona has won four straight games on the road, and they are 20-18 as road underdogs this year. As for how they have fared as the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 26-19.

Arizona has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 51-48 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 28-21 on the run line. Their average run margin is +0.2 runs per game, and they’ve been a good bet as the underdog, going 32-22 on the run line.

The Diamondbacks are on the road today to face the Cubs. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-44. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs this season, their over/under record is 6-4. The over/under line for their games has been set at 7.5 runs in 84.8% of their games this season.

Through 19 starts, Brandon Pfaadt has a record of 4-6 and an ERA of 3.97. He has made 10 quality starts this season and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Braves, he went six innings and gave up just four hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Pfaadt has a WHIP of 1.16 and is averaging 8.26 strikeouts per nine innings. Pfaadt has been much better at home, with an ERA of 3.09 compared to 4.77 on the road. His record away from home is 1-4.

Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league. The Diamondbacks have also been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, as they are 15th in the league in home runs.

Ketel Marte has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/28 in his last eight games, including two homers. For the season, he is batting .292 with 19 homers and 57 RBIs. Christian Walker is also among the league leaders in homers, as he is 6th in the league with 22 homers and is batting .261.

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago is 47-53 overall and trails the Brewers by 10 games in the NL Central. The Cubs are also 5th in the division, a half-game behind the Reds for 4th place. The Cubs have dropped two straight games, and they are 12-21 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Cubs are 25-23 this year and 22-30 on the road. As the favorite, Chicago has gone 22-23 and 25-30 as the underdog. So far, the Cubs have an overall series record of 11-17-3.

Chicago has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 31-21. However, they have been a poor run line bet at home, going 18-30. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 36-19, compared to 13-32 as the favorite.

Chicago Cubs games have gone over the total in 43 of 96 games this season, including 12 of 22 when the O/U line is set at 7.5. The Cubs’ games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs. The Cubs have gone under the total in two straight games.

Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that July 10th start vs. the Orioles, he went six innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking back further, Imanaga has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. He has made 17 appearances this season, and his ERA is 2.97. Imanaga’s record for the season is 8-2. Out of his 17 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, Imanaga is averaging 9.09 strikeouts and just 1.48 walks.

For the season, the Cubs are averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. This is also the 22nd and 21st ranked home and road scoring offense in the league. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 16th in the league, and their slugging percentage of .379 is 18th in the league.

Christopher Morel and Ian Happ have been the Cubs’ top power threats this season, with Morel’s 18 homers leading the team and Happ’s 15 homers being the 2nd most on the team. However, Morel is batting just .202 for the season, and Happ is only hitting .239. Nico Hoerner has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/40 in his last nine games.