San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 7/21/24
From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Padres and Guardians facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for Sunday’s matchup is set for 1:40 PM ET. BSGL will be televising this game, and the Guardians are the slight favorite on the money line (-113).
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Michael King will start for the Padres, who are 3rd in the NL West. Ben Lively will be on the mound for the Guardians, who are 59-38 and are 1st in the AL Central.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -113
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, July 21st.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
San Diego cruised to a 7-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 4th inning, scoring all seven of their runs. As for the Guardians, they only had one hit and didn’t score a run until the 8th inning.
Dylan Cease started for the Padres and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but did issue one walk. On the other side, Gavin Williams got the start for the Guardians and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
At the plate, David Peralta and Jake Cronenworth each homered for the Padres. Peralta, Luis Campusano, and Jackson Merrill each had two hits and two RBIs. Xander Bogaerts also had a two-hit game for San Diego.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is currently 51-50 overall, and they trail the Dodgers by eight games in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 15-17 in divisional games. The Padres are on a three-game losing streak, and they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Padres are 26-28 this season, and they are one game above .500 at 25-22 on the road. San Diego has an overall series record of 17-13-3, but they have lost three straight series overall. The Padres have won two straight series on the road.
When the Padres are on the road, they have a run line record of 32-15, with an average scoring margin of +0.9 runs per game. They have a run line record of 51-50 overall, with an average scoring margin of +0.1 runs per game. They have a run line record of 29-14 as an underdog and 22-36 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6 runs per game.
The San Diego Padres are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Padres’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-47. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 8-9-1. So far this season, 40 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 39.6% of their games. Their under streak is currently at 2 games.
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. King has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with a 3.40 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .223 this season. King has turned in eight quality starts this year and is averaging 10.46 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, King took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 6-2 and a 3.34 ERA.
As a team, the Padres are 2nd in batting average this season, and they are also among the league’s best in terms of avoiding strikeouts. Overall, they are 13th in the league in scoring at 4.5 runs per game. The Padres have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are tied for the team lead with 14 home runs, which is 13th in the league. Profar also comes into the game with the 13th most RBIs in the league, as he and Jake Cronenworth are the top two hitters in the Padres lineup in terms of RBIs. Cronenworth has struggled of late, hitting just .231 over his last seven games.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is 59-38 overall and leads the AL Central by five games over the Twins. The Guardians will take on the Padres at home today, with the series tied at 1-1. So far, the Guardians have gone just 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Guardians have been strong this year, coming in with a record of 31-12. They are just above .500 on the road, going 28-26. As the underdog, Cleveland has lost six straight games, and they are 16-17 as the underdog this year. Cleveland’s overall series record is 20-9-2, and they have lost two straight series.
At home, the Guardians are 22-21 against the run line, with a scoring margin of 1.2 runs per game. They are 20-13 vs. the run line as an underdog, and their average run differential in wins is +3.4 runs per game.
The Cleveland Guardians have played to an over/under record of 47-44 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. Their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 8-7-2. So far this season, 46 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 47.4% of their games, while 34 games have had lines set lower than 8 runs, accounting for 35.1% of their games. They are currently on a streak of five consecutive games going under the total.
Right-hander Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Padres at home. Lively has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.58 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .231 this season. Lively has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 7.98 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Lively took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
So far this season, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is good for 9th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 12th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. Currently, the Guardians are 13th in the league in home runs.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as they are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs and are 5th and 6th in the league in homers, respectively. Ramirez’s 79 RBIs are 2nd in the league, and Naylor is 3rd in the MLB with 70 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Angel Martinez is just 6/34.