New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 4/10/24
There is expected to be some light rain in Atlanta today as the Mets face the Braves at Truist Park. The first pitch is set for 7:20 PM, and the temperature is supposed to be in the mid-70s. The Braves come into the game with a record of 7-3 compared to the Mets at 4-7. You can find this NL East matchup on TV on SNY.
Starting for the Braves on Wednesday night is Allan Winans, and he is matched up against Jose Quintana for the Mets. Atlanta is heavily favored in this one, coming in with a money line payout of -167. Tonight’s over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -167
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Wednesday, April 10th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS BRAVES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
The Braves and Mets played a close game in the last matchup of this series, with the Braves pulling out a 6-5 win at home. Despite being outhit 12-11, the Braves were able to do enough to get the win. The Mets hit one more home run than the Braves but went 0/2 in the stolen base department.
Neither team scored more than one run in any inning until the 8th inning when the Mets put up three runs to tie the game. The Braves had to come from behind, as the Mets took a 5-4 lead in the 9th inning, but the Braves tied it up and won the game in the bottom of the 9th.
Reynaldo Lopez got the start for the Braves and didn’t give up a run in his six innings of work. Raisel Iglesias picked up the save, while Adrian Houser took the loss for the Mets, giving up five runs in five innings of work. Pete Alonso hit a home run for the Mets, while Ronald Acuna Jr. went 3/3 with three runs scored for the Braves.
Mets Records & Stats
Currently, the Mets are on the road and are playing the Braves, who are leading the NL East. The Mets are 4-7 overall and are in 4th place in the NL East, 3.5 games behind the Braves. In the division, they are 1-1, and overall, they are 3-2 on the road.
So far in the series against the Braves, the Mets have split the first two games. Overall, they have gone 1-2 in series so far this season and have lost their last two series at home.
When the Mets are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 4-1 in those games. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 3-1 as an underdog. They have an average run margin of -1.2 runs per game overall, but it’s even worse at home, where they are 0-6 against the run line. In their wins, they are covering the run line by an average of 1.2 runs per game, while in their losses, they are failing to cover by an average of -2.6 runs per game.
So far this season, the Mets have played 11 games with an average combined run total of 8.1. Their over/under record is 5-6, and their average over/under line is 8.0. In games with an over/under line of 9.5, the over has hit in both games. Overall, only 9.1% of their games have had an over/under line of 9.5 or higher. Their over streak is currently at 2 games.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today on the road against the Braves. In his first start of the season, Quintana took a loss against the Brewers, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up 2 earned runs. He followed that up with a no-decision vs. the Reds, where he struck out 4 and gave up 1 earned run in 5 2/3 innings.
For the Mets, we have Brandon Nimmo as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. Pete Alonso has the best odds to hit a home run for the Mets, as his home run projection is 11th best in today’s slate of games. Francisco Alvarez has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run for the Mets, and his odds are 15th best in today’s games. Starling Marte is not projected to have a big day in terms of hitting a home run, as his odds are 22nd best in today’s slate.
Braves Records & Stats
Allan Winans will be making his seventh start of the season for the Braves, and he’ll be looking to improve on his current record of 1-2. Last season, he made two appearances against the Mets, going 1-1 with an ERA of 4.85. For the season, Winans made six quality starts and finished with an ERA of 5.29. His WHIP for the season was 1.39, and he allowed a batting average of .287. Winans’ FIP for the season was 4.09, and he finished with a total of five home runs allowed. His strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 4.2, and he averaged 1.3 walks per game.
Looking at the Braves’ player projections for today, we see that Ronald Acuña Jr. has the highest total hits projection on the team and in the league. Marcell Ozuna has the highest home run projection on the team and in the league. Austin Riley has the 2nd best total hits projection on the team and 3rd best in the league. Matt Olson has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 2nd best in the league.