Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 4/10/24
There is expected to be some inclement weather in Kansas City today, as the forecast calls for overcast skies and 12 MPH winds. The Astros head into the game with a record of 4-8 and will be taking on a Royals club that is 7-4. This American League matchup can be caught on BSKC, with the first pitch set for 7:40 PM.
Starting for the Royals on Wednesday night is Seth Lugo, and he will be facing Spencer Arrighetti for the Astros. Houston is the favorite in this one, coming in with a money line payout of -121. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline +102
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 7:40 ET on Wednesday, April 10th.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
The Royals were able to pull off a close win in the last game of this series vs. the Astros, winning by a score of 4-3 in 10 innings. Kansas City was actually out-hit in the game, as the Astros finished with 14 hits compared to just seven for the Royals.
Neither team hit a home run in the game, and the Royals had just one extra-base hit, while the Astros had two. Despite the loss, Wander Suero had a solid outing for Houston, going 1 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. James McArthur got the win for the Royals.
Salvador Perez and Nelson Velazquez were the only Royals hitters to have multi-hit games, while Yordan Alvarez had a four-hit game for the Astros. Jeremy Pena and Kyle Tucker also had two hits apiece for Houston.
Astros Records & Stats
Heading into their series against the Royals, the Astros are 4-8 overall and are currently in 4th place in the AL West, trailing the Rangers by 2.5 games. They have gone 2-3 on the road so far this season and have a 2-2 record against division opponents. Houston has struggled as the favorite this season, going 2-8.
So far in this series, the Astros have split the first two games and are 1-1-1 in series this season. Overall, they are 2-0 when they are the underdog this season.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 6.2 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 4-8, and they are 2-3 against the run line on the road. They have lost three straight games against the run line as the favorite, and are 2-8 overall in that situation. But they are 2-0 against the run line as the underdog.
Through 11 games, the Astros have an over/under record of 3-8. The average over/under line in their games has been 9 runs, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game. In the five games where the over/under line has been set higher than 9 runs, the over/under record is 1-3-1. In the two games where the over/under line was set lower than 9 runs, the over/under record is 1-1. Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs.
Today, Spencer Arrighetti gets the nod for the Astros as they face the Royals. It’s his chance to make a strong opening statement, as this will be his first time on the mound this year.
For the Astros, Jose Altuve has the highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 2nd on the team and 12th in the league today. Kyle Tucker has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 13th in the league. Yordan Alvarez has the highest home run projection on the team and 10th in the league today. Yainer Diaz has the 2nd highest home run projection on the team and 12th in the league today.
Royals Records & Stats
After sweeping the White Sox in a three-game series, the Royals have taken the first game of their series against the Astros and have won five straight games. They are currently in 2nd place in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by one game. Overall, they are 7-4 and have a division record of 5-2.
At home, the Royals have been excellent, going 6-2, and they have won six straight games at home. Overall, they are 4-0 as the favorite and 3-4 as the underdog.
When playing at home, the Kansas City Royals have been a solid bet on the run line, going 5-3. They have a run line record of 7-4 overall, with an average run margin of 1.8 runs per game. They have covered the run line in three straight games at home and have covered the run line in four of their seven games as the underdog.
The Royals have been trending towards the under recently, with their last four games all finishing under the total. Their games have averaged 6.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 3-7. Their average over/under line is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, the over is 1-2. So far this season, none of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs.
Seth Lugo is getting the start for the Royals at home against the Astros. He has been solid in his first two starts of the season, going 6 innings in each outing. He picked up a win in his first start, striking out 8 and allowing just 1 earned run.
When looking at the Royals’ player props, Bobby Witt Jr. is not only projected to have the most hits on the team, but his hits projection is 14th best in the league today. Witt Jr. also has the best odds on the team to hit a home run, with his home run projection being 9th best in the league. Nelson Velázquez has the 6th best hits projection on the team and his odds to hit a home run are 10th best in the league today. Maikel Garcia has the 2nd best hits projection on the team and his odds to hit a home run are 21st best in the league today.