Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 4/10/24
The Red Sox and Orioles will get things underway at 7:10 PM tonight at Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The Red Sox come into the game with a record of 7-4 and will be facing an Orioles squad that is 6-4. This AL East matchup can be caught on NESN.
It will be a little chilly in Boston for this one, with a forecasted high of 61 degrees. With overcast skies, the first pitch will be set to Cole Irvin for the Orioles, and he will be facing Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are just the slight favorite, coming in with a money line payout of -113. Tonight’s over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
BOSTON RED SOX VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -113
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, April 10th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
The Orioles and Red Sox wrapped up their most recent game in this series, with Baltimore picking up a 7-1 win. Despite Boston hitting a home run and Baltimore not hitting a single homer, the Orioles’ offense was able to put up seven runs on just 13 hits.
Colton Cowser was the driving force behind the Baltimore offense, finishing the game with four RBIs. Cedric Mullins also had a strong game, going 2/4 with two runs scored and a stolen base. The only run for Boston came on a home run from Tyler O’Neill.
Corbin Burnes got the start for Baltimore and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Brayan Bello took the loss for Boston, giving up one run in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Orioles Records & Stats
Cole Irvin and the Orioles are on the road to take on the Red Sox. Irvin started the season with a loss to the Royals, as he went 5 innings, giving up 4 runs on 7 hits and striking out 3.
Our model is giving Anthony Santander the best chance to hit a home run for the Orioles today, as his home run projection is 11th in the league. Ryan O’Hearn is 12th in the league in terms of home run projections. If you’re looking for a player to have a good day at the plate overall, Gunnar Henderson has the highest hits projection on the team.
Red Sox Records & Stats
After dropping the series opener to the Orioles, the Red Sox will look to even up the series. They have been solid on the road this season, going 7-3, but are just 0-1 at home. Overall, they are 7-4 and are currently 2.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead.
Despite their overall record, the Red Sox have been solid in series play, going 2-0-1. They have won two straight series and have won two straight road series.
The Red Sox have been a solid run-line bet this season, going 8-3 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 8-2 against the run line. However, they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going 0-1. Their average run differential is +1.8 runs per game, but they have been much better at covering the run line in games they win, with an average run differential of +4.1 runs per game in those contests.
Through their first 10 games of the season, the Boston Red Sox have had an over/under record of 5-5. Their average over/under line has been set at 8 runs, and their combined run average in those games has been 7.5 runs. They have not yet had a game with an over/under line of 9 runs, and in all 10 games, the over/under line has been set below 9 runs.
Getting the start at home against the Orioles today is Kutter Crawford. He has started two games this season, getting a no-decision in both. In his first start, he went 6 innings and struck out 7, and in his second outing, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 1 earned run.
For the Red Sox, Pablo Reyes is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits today. Triston Casas has the best odds to hit a home run for the Red Sox and his home run projection is 11th best in the league today. Rafael Devers has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run for the Red Sox and Tyler O’Neill is 13th in the league in terms of home run projections.