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SECN will be covering the week ten non-conference matchup between the UMass Minutemen and the Mississippi State Bulldogs, set to kick off at 4:15 ET from Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. The Bulldogs are the heavy favorite at -18, with the over/under line currently sitting at 59.5 points. Both teams have struggled this season, with UMass holding a 2-6 record and Mississippi State coming in at 1-7.<h3>UMASS MINUTEMEN VS MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK</h3>The Pick: UMass Minutemen +18This game will be played at Davis Wade Stadium at 4:15 ET on Saturday, November 2nd.<h3>WHY BET THE UMASS MINUTEMEN:</h3><ul><li>We have the Mississippi State Bulldogs winning this one by a score of 40 to 26</li><li>Even though we like the Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, our ATS pick is to take the UMass Minutemen at +18</li><li>Look for this game to go over the line of 59.5 points</li></ul><h3>Will The UMass Minutemen Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs</h3>UMass enters Week 10 with a 2-6 record, ranked 130th in our CFB power rankings. They have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible for the rest of the season. On the road, they are 0-3, and they’ve been favored in just one game so far. The Minutemen’s average scoring margin is -10.9 points, and their ATS record stands at 1-3-1. They are 0-1 against the spread as the favorite and have gone 1-2-1 as the underdog. This week’s over/under line is set at 59.5 points. UMass games have averaged 49.1 points, with their average over/under line at 47.9 points. Their over/under record for the season is 2-3.UMass has struggled offensively this season, averaging just 19.1 points per game, which ranks 90th nationally. They are 98th in our offensive power rankings entering week 10. Quarterback Taisun Phommachanh has thrown for 1,541 yards, completing 57% of his passes, with eight touchdowns and five interceptions. He has a passer rating of 81, which matches the team’s overall rating, placing them 97th in the country.UMass ranks 81st in rushing, averaging 136.6 yards per game. CJ Hester leads the team with 287 rushing yards, averaging 4 yards per carry, and has scored two touchdowns. On third downs, UMass has converted 37.3% of their attempts. Jakobie Keeney-James is the leading receiver with 566 yards and three touchdowns on 32 catches.UMass's defense is coming off a strong performance against Wagner, allowing just 7 points and 219 total yards. They gave up 163 rushing yards on 49 attempts and 56 yards through the air, while also forcing an interception. Despite the solid showing, UMass ranks 79th nationally, allowing 30 points per game. They are 11th in the country in passing yards allowed, giving up just 157.5 yards per game, but rank 120th against the run, surrendering 173.1 yards per game.<h3>Are The Mississippi State Bulldogs Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?</h3>Mississippi State enters Week 10 with a 1-7 record and no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 72nd in our power rankings and have gone 0-4 at home this season. The Bulldogs have been favored in just one game this season, and their average scoring margin is -9.2 points per game. Against the spread, they are 3-4, with a 2-1 record on the road and a 1-3 mark at home. This week’s over/under line is 59.5 points, higher than their average line of 56.5 points. Mississippi State’s over/under record is 5-2, with their games averaging 63.5 points.Mississippi State’s offense ranks 56th in scoring, averaging 27.1 points per game as they head into week 10. They are 63rd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 34th with 259.4 yards per game. They are 42nd in passing attempts and 33rd in completions. Michael Van Buren Jr. leads the team with 1,101 passing yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 88. Kevin Coleman Jr. has 636 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns on 52 catches. Mississippi State is 24th in rushing attempts but ranks 86th with 132.5 rushing yards per game.Mississippi State's defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.4 points per game, ranking 99th nationally. In their recent game against Arkansas, they gave up 58 points and 675 total yards, including 361 rushing yards and 314 passing yards, while allowing five passing touchdowns. Opponents are averaging 215.9 rushing yards per game and 264.2 passing yards against Mississippi State. Quarterbacks have posted a 107.3 passer rating and completed 72.6% of their passes against the Bulldogs’ defense this season.

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