At 3:07 PM from the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have an American League matchup between the Twins and Blue Jays. Minnesota comes in with a record of 23-15, while the Blue Jays are 17-21. Kevin Gausman is starting for the Blue Jays, and he is facing off against Simeon Woods Richardson for the Twins.

Toronto is the favorite at -161 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. Looking at the Twins, they are +135 on the money line. This game can be seen on TV on MLB Network.


The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -161

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 3:07 ET on Saturday, May 11th.


  • We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Blue Jays series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -105 and squeaked out a 3-2 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Blue Jays could only muster one more run in the 3rd inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game's go-ahead run in the 5th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Toronto had a chance to win the game in the 9th, as they scored one run and had the tying run on third base with two outs. However, Griffin Jax got the final out for the Twins' bullpen. Joe Ryan pitched well for Minnesota, getting the win after going seven innings and giving up just one run.

At the plate, the Twins were led by Carlos Santana and Carlos Correa, as they were the only two Minnesota hitters to have more than one hit. Santana, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, and Bo Bichette each had two RBIs for the Blue Jays.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 23-15 overall this season, and they are 12-7 against other teams in the AL Central, which is 3rd best in the division. Currently, they are a half-game behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins have won three straight games and are 8-2 over their last 10.

So far, the Twins have been good on the road, putting together a record of 12-7. At home, they are 11-8 this season. As the favorite, the Twins are 18-7, and they are 5-8 when going into a game as the underdog. Minnesota has won two straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 6-4-2 this year.

When playing on the road, the Twins have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 12-7. Their average run margin in all games is +0.7, and they have a run line record of 21-17 overall. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have been an underdog in their last four games, going 3-1 against the run line in those contests.

When the Twins and Blue Jays met, the over/under line was set at 7.0 runs, and the game went under that total. The Twins' games have had an average of 5 runs scored this season, and their games have gone over the over/under line in 19 of 37 games.

Simeon Woods Richardson will be making his 5th start of the season for the Twins, and he has been solid so far, with a 1-0 record. He has gone 6 innings in 2 of his 4 starts and is coming off a no-decision in his last outing against the Mariners, where he struck out 8 and allowed just 1 run on 1 hit.

Minnesota's offense has been good at home this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, but they have been even better on the road, putting up an average of 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. The Twins have been a good home run hitting team this season, as their 41 homers is 9th in the league. As a team, they are batting .239.

Edouard Julien comes into the game with the 2nd most home runs for the Twins this season, but he is hitting just .205. Ryan Jeffers and Willi Castro have been the team's top two run producers, with Jeffers leading the team with 29 RBIs and Castro coming in at 3rd with 14. Jeffers also has 8 homers, which is 5th in the league. Jeffers has also been hot of late, going 8/27 in his last 8 games with three homers.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 5th in the AL East this season, and they are 8.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 17-21 and have gone 5-5 in divisional games. The Blue Jays dropped the first game of this series vs. the Twins and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Blue Jays are 8-8 this year and 9-13 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 23 games, where they have gone 13-10. As for their games as the underdog, they are just 4-11 this year. Toronto's overall series record is 4-6-2, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When the Blue Jays are at home, they have a run line record of 6-10, with an average run margin of -1.1. Their overall run line record is 16-22, with an average run margin of -1.2. They have a losing streak against the run line at home, failing to cover in four straight games. As the favorite, they are 11-12 against the run line, and as the underdog, they are 5-10.

Despite the Blue Jays' over/under record of 16-21, the over/under line for today's game against the Twins is set at 7.5 runs. The average combined run total in Blue Jays games this season is 8.3 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the record is 3-4, and the under has hit in their last two games.

Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn't give up a run. In that May 4th outing vs. the Nationals, he went 5 1/3 innings and got the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Gausman has made seven starts, and his record for the season is 2-3. The right-hander's ERA is 3.78, along with a WHIP of 1.29. Opposing batters are hitting .255 off Gausman this season. So far, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 8.37 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Blue Jays have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. This is the worst mark in the league. As a team, they are batting just .228, which is 18th in the league, and their slugging percentage of .359 is 24th. The Blue Jays do have three players with 16 RBIs, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Justin Turner are tied for 2nd on the team with four homers.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/25 in his last six games, which is good for a batting average of .360. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/20 in his last six games.