The Stars and Avalanche are set to face off at 10:00 ET on TNT. The Avalanche will host the game at Ball Arena in Denver, CO. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 6.5 goals and the Avalanche are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Stars.

DALLAS STARS VS COLORADO AVALANCHE BETTING PICK

The Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 10:00 ET on Saturday, May 11th.

WHY BET THE COLORADO AVALANCHE:

  • Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Stars.
  • We like the Stars on the moneyline (+114)
  • The Stars are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Will the Stars Make it Happen on the Road?

On the season, the Stars have been the favorite in 71 of their 82 games and have gone 47-17-7 in those games. Over their last ten games, Dallas has gone 6-4, and they have won two straight games as the favorite.

Overall, the Stars have gone 52-21-9 on the year, and they are in first place in both the Western Conference and the Central Division. In the Western Conference, Dallas has gone 34-16, and they are 17-9 against division opponents.

As the underdog, the Stars have gone just 9-2 vs. the puck line this season and have an overall puck line record of 36-46. In their last ten games, Dallas has gone just 2-8 vs. the puck line.

On the road, the Stars have gone 22-19 vs. the puck line this season, and their average scoring margin away from home is +.8 goals per game. In their last ten road games, Dallas has gone 7-3 vs. the puck line.

This season, Dallas' games have an average of 6.5 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.2. The Stars come in with an over/under performance of 42-39-1.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Dallas has an puck line record of 1-2 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Stars are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 3rd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 11th in the league. Dallas' offense comes into the game ranked 11th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 2nd in the NHL.

Dallas' leading scorer is Wyatt Johnston. So far, he has 32 goals which is 34th in the NHL. Johnston also comes into the game with 33 assists.

The Avalanche defense is currently 16th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Colorado. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 19th with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Jake Oettinger gets the start and has made 53 starts this season. His record at this point is 35-14, and his save percentage is 0.888%.

Can Colorado Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

At home this season, the Avalanche have gone 31-9-1 and have been favored in 69 of their 82 games. In the Western Conference, Colorado is in 4th place and 3rd in the Central Division. Over their last 10 games, the Avalanche have gone 6-4 and are 50-25-7 overall.

Against other Western Conference teams, Colorado has gone 34-16 this season. In their last three games, the Avalanche have gone 2-1 and are 4-1 over their last five games. This season, Colorado has been favored in 69 of their 82 games and have gone 45-18-6 in those games.

On the season, Colorado is 40-42 against the puck line, including a home mark of 24-17. In their last ten games at home, the Avalanche have gone just 5-5 vs. the puck line.

So far this year, the Avalanche have won 36 games by multiple goals, and their average scoring margin at home is at +1.5 goals per game. In their last five games overall, Colorado has a puck line record of 4-1.

This season, Colorado's games have an average of 6.8 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.4. The Avalanche come in with an over/under performance of 47-32-3.

In their last three games away from home, the Stars have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 2 goals per game in these contests.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Avalanche are averaging 3.7 goals per game this season, putting them in the 1st spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 4th in the league. This season, the Avalanche have a 34-14 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 13-10 record.

Colorado will be looking for a good game from Nathan MacKinnon who leads the team in scoring with 51 goals, ranking 4th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, MacKinnon has 89 assists this season.

Colorado defense takes on the Stars ranked 16th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Colorado. They also are 19th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Alexandar Georgiev gets the start and has made 62 starts this season. His record at this point is 38-18, and his save percentage is 0.966%.