Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/18/24

Wednesday’s matchup between the Dodgers and Marlins has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Dodgers are 1st in the NL West with a record of 89-62, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East at 56-95.

Los Angeles comes into the game as the heavy favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -180 compared to the Marlins at +151. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and BSFL will be televising this one.

MIAMI MARLINS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +151

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, September 18th.

HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Miami rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs Dodgers series. The Marlins scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up an 11-9 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +187 on the money line.

Darren McCaughan got the start for the Marlins, going just 3 2/3 innings while giving up five runs and striking out four. Anthony Veneziano got the win out of the bullpen. Bobby Miller only went two innings for the Dodgers, giving up four earned runs on seven hits.

Jesús Sánchez had a huge game at the plate for the Marlins, going 5/5 with two doubles and three RBIs. Kyle Stowers also had two hits and two RBIs. For the Dodgers, Max Muncy went 3/5 with five RBIs.

Dodgers Records & Stats

Los Angeles is currently 1st in the NL West, leading the Padres by 3.5 games. Overall, the Dodgers are 89-62, but they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Marlins. Their division record is 24-19 this year.

At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27 this year, and they are just above .500 on the road at 41-35. As the favorite, the Dodgers have been good this year, going 84-50, but they are just 5-12 as the underdog. So far, they have been the road favorite 60 times this year, going 37-23.

When betting the Dodgers on the run line this season, you’ve been better off taking them at home, where they’re 38-37 vs. the run line. Overall, they’re 75-76 vs. the run line, with an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game. They’re 37-39 vs. the run line on the road, where their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game. As the favorite, they’re 68-66 vs. the run line, compared to 7-10 as the underdog. In their wins, their average run margin is +3.7 runs per game, compared to -3.4 runs per game in their losses.

Los Angeles is on the road today against the Miami Marlins, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 83-65 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 33-25, and they are currently on a four-game over streak.

Landon Knack gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and two of them have been quality starts. Knack’s record for the season is 2-4, and he most recently took the loss on September 13th, where he gave up five earned runs in just two innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight outings. Knack’s ERA for the season is 3.70, along with a WHIP of 1.09.

Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been the Dodgers’ top power threats this season, with Ohtani’s 48 homers leading the team and Hernandez’s 29 long balls coming in as the second-most in the league. Ohtani also leads the team with 110 RBIs, which is also good for 2nd in the MLB. Ohtani is batting .287 for the season, while Hernandez is at .269. Hernandez has been hot of late, going 8/23 in his last six games, with one homer and seven runs scored.

As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in scoring at 5 runs per game, and they have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 3rd best home run hitting team and have the MLB’s top slugging percentage. They also come into the game with the league’s 2nd best OPS figure.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 35 games for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 56-95, and they are 17-32 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins took the first game of the series vs. the Dodgers and have an overall series record of 11-28-9.

At home, the Marlins are 29-47 this season and 27-48 on the road. So far, they are just 4-14 when favored and 52-81 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series losing streak is two games, and they are 4-6 over their last ten games.

When the Marlins win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but they lose by an average of 3.8 runs. They are 71-80 vs. the run line overall, but they are 33-43 at home. They are 38-37 vs. the run line on the road and have covered the run line in three straight games at home. As an underdog, they are 69-64 vs. the run line.

In games involving the Miami Marlins this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs 52 times, and the over has hit in 28 of those contests. The Marlins’ games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, so the over/under line has been set slightly higher than their average combined run total.

Miami is sending left-hander Ryan Weathers to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.55 ERA. Weathers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 13 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.49 strikeouts per nine innings. Weathers most recently pitched on June 7th vs. the Guardians, where he went 2 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, three walks, and four hits. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and have the 23rd home run total in the league. Miami is also the worst team in the league in terms of drawing walks.

Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the team’s top power threats this season, with 26 and 17 home runs, respectively. Burger also leads the Marlins with 66 RBIs. Otto Lopez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/22 in his last six games, with two homers in that stretch.