Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

First pitch for Saturday’s matchup between the Royals and Yankees is set for 6:38 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The forecast for the game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s.

Kansas City is 86-76 and Michael Wacha is the starter on the mound on Saturday. The Yankees are starting Gerrit Cole and they are the heavy favorite on the money line at -203. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and the under is currently favored at -102.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: UNDER 7.5 Runs

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 6:38 ET on Saturday, October 5th.

HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS YANKEES:

  • We have the Yankees winning by a score of 4 to 3
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Royals to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under

Royals Records & Stats

To close out their series vs. the Orioles, the Royals picked up a 2-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +125 on the money line. It was a good start for the Royals, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 6th.

Seth Lugo put together a good start for the Royals, going 4 1/3 innings, and giving up just one earned run, and striking out six. However, he didn’t get the win, as the Royals’ offense scored their second run in the top of the 6th.

As the Royals prepare to face the Yankees in New York, they’ll look to improve on their 41-40 road record this season. Kansas City went 45-36 at home and finished the regular season 86-76 overall. They’ve won three straight games as road underdogs and have also won three consecutive road games.

On the run line, the Royals went 91-73 this season, with an average run margin of +0.6 per game. They’ve covered the run line in four straight road games. The under has hit in five consecutive Royals games, and their over/under record for the season is 69-90. Today’s 7.5-run line is lower than 80.9% of their games this year.

Michael Wacha gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 13-8 with an ERA of 3.35. Wacha’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. Out of his 29 starts, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 7.83 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Wacha finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up an average of 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 7th in the league, and are one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts. Their team on-base percentage of .306 is just 16th in the league.

Bobby Witt Jr. has been the Royals’ top hitter this season, with a batting average of .332 to go along with a league-leading 109 RBIs and 32 home runs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 10/34 in his last nine games. Salvador Perez is also having a strong season, with a batting average of .271 and 27 homers.

Yankees Records & Stats

New York closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a 6-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -169. It was a big 1st inning for the Yankees, as they scored two runs, and the Pirates could only score three runs the entire game, all of which came in the 3rd.

Clarke Schmidt got the start for the Yankees, going four innings and giving up four earned runs. He also issued four walks and took the loss. The Yankees’s offense was carried by Trent Grisham, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

As the Yankees prepare to host the Royals in game one of their AL Divisional Round series, they’ll look to build on their 94-68 regular season record. New York went 44-37 at home this year, while posting a 50-31 mark on the road. As home favorites, they finished 43-35.

New York’s run line record for the season was 84-78, and they went 35-46 against the run line at home. Their average run margin at home was +0.4, compared to +1.4 on the road. The Yankees’ over/under record was 86-71, and 85.2% of their games had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line. The over has hit in their last two games.

Through 17 starts, Gerrit Cole has a record of 8-5 and an ERA of 3.41. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. Cole has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 9.38 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Cole was dominant, going 6 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished with the win in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Cole’s ERA at home is 4.8 compared to 3.09 on the road.

Not only are the Yankees the top home run hitting team in the league, but they are also 3rd in runs per game, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .248 as a team, which is 7th in the league, and have the best team on-base percentage in the league. Aaron Judge has been a huge part of their offense this season, as he leads the league with 144 RBIs and is also 1st in the MLB with 58 home runs. Judge has also been hot of late, hitting .346 over his last eight games with five homers.

Juan Soto is also having a great season for the Yankees, as he is batting .288 with 41 homers. Soto is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Gleyber Torres has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/40 in his last nine games.