San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24
Los Angeles comes into this NL West matchup vs. the Padres looking to extend their five-game winning streak. They are 98-64 on the season and they are starting Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The Dodgers are the betting favorite for Saturday’s game, with their money line odds sitting at -137.
San Diego is 93-69 and they are starting Dylan Cease. On the money line, the Padres are the slight underdogs at +118. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and FS1 will be televising this one.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -137
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 8:38 ET on Saturday, October 5th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS DODGERS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 4 to 3
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Braves, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing one run to the Braves in the top of the first, the Padres responded with five runs of their own. San Diego was the -119 favorite at home going into the game.
Joe Musgrove got the start for the Padres, going 3 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one hit and struck out four. However, Musgrove did issue three walks and allowed a run to score. The Padres’s bullpen was a little shaky, as the Braves scored two runs in the 8th to tie things up. Robert Suarez was able to close things out and picked up the save.
As the Padres prepare to face the Dodgers in Los Angeles for game one of their NL Divisional Round series, San Diego will look to build on their 48-33 road record from the regular season. The Padres went 45-36 at home and finished the year with a 93-69 overall record. As road underdogs, they posted a 26-18 mark this season.
San Diego’s run line record for the season was 85-79, including 51-30 on the road. As underdogs, they went 41-18 against the run line. Their games averaged 8.8 total runs, while today’s over/under line sits at 7.5 runs. The Padres’ over/under record for the year was 83-77.
Dylan Cease will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Dodgers on September 25th, Cease went 5 innings, giving up 3 earned runs, and 4 hits. Cease finished with 10 strikeouts in that outing. Leading up to that start, Cease had picked up the win in two straight outings. His record for the season is 14-11, and he has an ERA of 3.47. Cease has made 33 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.07. This season, Cease has one complete game shutout and 16 quality starts.
San Diego comes into the game with the league’s top batting average at .263, and they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Manny Machado has been a big run producer for the Padres this season, as his 105 RBIs are 7th best in the league. He also leads the team with 29 homers. Luis Arraez and Jurickson Profar have also been good run producers, as they are 7th and 3rd on the team in RBIs, respectively. Machado is also on a five-game hitting streak, going 6/21 in his last seven games.
Dodgers Records & Stats
The Dodgers’s offense was carried by Chris Taylor in their most recent game vs. the Rockies. Taylor went only one for two, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in both of the Dodgers’s runs. Los Angeles’s other run came in the 8th inning, as they closed things out with a 2-1 win. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were the heavy favorite at -154.
Anthony Banda got the start for the Dodgers, going just one inning. He was pulled early, as the Dodgers wanted to get Evan Phillips some work out of the bullpen. Phillips picked up the save, and Edgardo Henriquez got the win out of the bullpen.
As the Dodgers prepare to host the Padres in game one of their NL Divisional Round series, Los Angeles will look to build on their five-game winning streak. The Dodgers finished the regular season with a 98-64 record, including a 52-29 mark at home and a 46-35 record on the road. As favorites, they went 92-52 this season.
Los Angeles posted a 81-81 run line record this year, with a +1.0 average run margin per game. At home, their run line record was 40-41. The Dodgers’ over/under record for the season was 90-68, while 84% of their games had higher totals than today’s 7.5-run line.
Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 7-2 with a 3.00 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Yamamoto has a WHIP of 1.11 and has turned in seven quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.5 strikeouts and just 2.2 walks. Yamamoto’s most recent outing came on September 28th, where he got the win after going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run.
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear for the Dodgers, as he has gone 27/43 (.628) over his last 10 games, including six home runs and 20 RBIs. Ohtani’s 130 RBIs for the season are 2nd in the league, and he is also 2nd in the league with 54 home runs. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season for the Dodgers, as he is batting .272 with 33 homers.
As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they lead the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. The Dodgers also have the top ISO mark in the league, and they are 3rd in home runs.