Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 4/14/24
The forecast from New York on Sunday calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the upper 50s. First pitch for the interleague matchup between the Royals and Mets is set for 1:40 PM ET from Citi Field. Kansas City is 10-5 so far, while the Mets are currently 6-8.
SNY will be televising Sunday’s game, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. The Royals are the favorite on the money line at -129, and today’s Mets starter is Jose Butto. Cole Ragans is going for the Royals.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -129
This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, April 14th.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS METS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was all Kansas City in the last game of this series, as the Royals took down the Mets by a score of 11-7. The Royals offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out seven times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +137 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Alec Marsh for the Royals and Sean Manaea for the Mets. Marsh only went five innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Manaea was tagged for six runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
Pete Alonso did his best to keep the Mets in the game, as he went 3/3 with two homers and three RBIs. Alonso’s second homer came in the 8th inning and cut the Royals lead to 11-7, but that’s as close as the Mets would get.
Royals Records & Stats
The Royals come into this one, having gone 10-5 through their first 15 games. In the AL Central, they are just ahead of the Guardians by half a game. So far, they have been good at home, putting together an 8-2 record, but they are just 2-3 on the road.
Looking at their overall series record, the Royals are currently 2-2, and they have won each of their last two series. Kansas City is currently on a four-game winning streak as the favorite and has a record of 4-0 as the favorite this season.
The Royals have been a profitable run line team this season, going 10-5 overall. They have been particularly good at home, going 7-3 on the run line. They have a run line record of 3-2 on the road, and their average run differential is +2.5 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 3-1 on the run line as the favorite.
So far this season, the Kansas City Royals have had 14 games with an over/under line, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 6-8, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, and in the three games they’ve played with an over/under line of 8 runs, the over/under record is 2-1. The Royals’ games have had an over/under line of 8 runs or more in 11 of their 15 games this season.
Cole Ragans is on the mound for the Royals in their road matchup against the Mets. Ragans has started three games this season, and he has yet to pick up a win. In his last start, he went 5 innings and gave up 3 earned runs, but he did strike out 5 batters. In his first start of the season, he went 6 1/3 innings and did not allow a run.
If you’re looking at player props for the Royals, we have Nelson Velázquez projected to have the 6th most hits on the team, but he does have the highest odds to hit a home run for the Royals, with the 6th best odds in the league. Bobby Witt Jr. has the best odds to get a hit for the Royals, and his total is 10th best in the league today. His odds to hit a home run are 2nd on the team and 7th in the league. Maikel Garcia is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, with the 23rd best odds in the league today.
Mets Records & Stats
With an overall record of 6-8, the Mets are in 3rd place in the NL East heading into today’s game vs. the Royals. They will also look to pick up a win at home, as they are just 2-6 at home this season. Luckily, they’ve been better on the road at 4-2.
The Mets are coming off a series loss, as they Royals took the final game of the series. New York is 2-2 in series so far and have won each of their last two series. As the underdog, the Mets are 3-2 this season compared to 3-6 as the favorite.
Despite being just .500 on the year, the Mets have been a solid bet on the run line, going 6-8 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 5-1. They have also been a good bet as the underdog, going 4-1 on the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.8.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Mets-Royals game is right in line with the Mets’ season average of 8 runs per game. The Mets have played 14 games this season with an over/under line of 8 runs, and the over has hit in seven of those games. The Mets’ games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and they have scored an average of 4.5 runs per game while allowing an average of 5.1 runs per game. Their games have gone over the total in 7 of 14 games with an over/under line of 8 runs.
Jose Buto is getting the start for the Mets today, and he is coming off a solid outing in his first start of the season. He went 6 innings and allowed just 1 run on 3 hits while striking out 6 against the Tigers. He did not factor into the decision in that game.
Looking at the Mets’ offensive projections, we have Pete Alonso as the top power threat, as his home run projection is the best on the team and 7th best in the league today. Brandon Nimmo has the best overall hits projection on the team and 22nd best in the league. Jeff McNeil is right behind Nimmo in terms of hits projections, and Francisco Alvarez has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run for the Mets.