Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/14/24

At 1:40 PM ET, the Twins and Tigers will face off in an AL Central matchup. This one is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit and features a Twins club that is 6-7 compared to the Tigers at 8-6. On the money line, the Tigers are the slight favorite at -110.

As for the over/under line, it is currently at 8.5 runs, and Sunday’s forecast looks good in Detroit, with the temperature in the mid-60s and partly cloudy skies. Starting for the Tigers is Jack Flaherty, while the Twins are going with Bailey Ober.

DETROIT TIGERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline -110

This game will be played at Comerica Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, April 14th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS TIGERS:

• We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Tigers series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -116 and squeaked out a 4-1 win. The Twins offense only had two more hits than the Tigers and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a win.

Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Tigers could only muster one more run in the 7th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 6th and added two insurance runs in the 7th.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers each had two hits and an RBI for the Twins. Willi Castro was the only Tigers hitter to have more than one hit.

Twins Records & Stats

After taking the final game of their series vs the Tigers, the Twins are now 6-7 as they continue a two-game winning streak. In the AL Central, they are 3 games behind the Royals. So far, they have gone just 1-4 at home, but they have had a winning record on the road at 5-3.

Minnesota has been the favorite in 8 of their games, and they have a record of 5-3 in those contests. As the underdog, which they have been 5 times, their record is 1-4. Their overall series record is 1-2-1.

Minnesota has been a solid run-line bet this season, going 7-6 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 6-2 against the run line. They’ve covered the run line in two straight games and are 5-3 against the run line as the favorite.

Minnesota’s over/under record for the season fell to 5-8 after the Twins and Tigers combined for 16 runs in their latest meeting. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than the average line for Twins games this season. In the 13 games Minnesota has played, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs or higher in just two of them.

Minnesota’s Bailey Ober is on the road to take on the Tigers today. Ober is looking to bounce back from a rough outing in his first start of the season, where he only went 1 1/3 innings and gave up 8 runs. In his last start, Ober went 5 innings and only gave up 1 run on 3 hits.

When it comes to the Twins’ offensive projections, we have Byron Buxton leading the way in terms of home run projections, as his odds are 9th best in the league today. Alex Kirilloff’s total hits projection is 25th best in the league today, and his home run projection is 13th best in the league. Jose Miranda is our top projected Twins hitter in terms of total hits, as his odds are 23rd best in today’s slate.

Tigers Records & Stats

Detroit’s overall record currently sits at 8-6, and they are in 3rd place in the AL Central. Right now, they are 1.5 games behind the Royals for the division lead. The Tigers head into today’s game on a two-game losing streak, losing the final two games of their series with the Twins.

Looking at their series record, the Tigers are 2-1-1 so far. When playing on the road, they have gone 6-2 compared to 2-4 at home. Detroit got their series with the Twins by winning the first game.

When the Tigers are favored, they are a good bet to fade, as they are just 1-6 on the run line. Their run line record is 5-9 overall, with a -0.2 run differential. They are 4-4 on the run line on the road, but just 1-5 at home.

So far this season, the Detroit Tigers have played 13 games, and the over/under record in those games is 6-7. The average over/under line in those games has been 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5 runs. In the Tigers’ 13 games, the average combined run total has been 7.6 runs. This is the second game this season where the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs. The first game with an 8.5 run line went over the total.

Jack Flaherty is getting the start for the Tigers today, as they are at home against the Twins. Flaherty is coming off a loss in his last outing, where he gave up 5 earned runs in 6 innings. He did strike out 9 batters, but he also gave up a home run.

When looking at the Tigers’ offensive projections today, we see that Gio Urshela has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 12th best in the league. His home run projection is 20th in the league. Riley Greene is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits and 3rd in terms of home run projections. His home run projection is 11th in the league. Kerry Carpenter has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 9th in the league. Spencer Torkelson has the best home run projection on the team and 7th in the league.