New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 4/14/24
At 1:40 from Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have an American League matchup between the Yankees and Guardians. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Yankees have the best record in the AL at 12-3, while the Guardians are 9-5. New York is currently favored on the money line at -137, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Starting for the Yankees is Nestor Cortes, and he is facing off against Logan Allen for the Guardians. You can catch this one on BSGL.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +114
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, April 14th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
New York cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Guardians, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -109.
Cody Poteet only went six innings for the Yankees but gave up just one run and picked up a win. Triston McKenzie struggled on the mound for the Guardians, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. He did finish the game with six strikeouts.
At the plate, Juan Soto and Anthony Volpe each had three RBIs for the Yankees’ offense. Soto, Anthony Rizzo, and Josh Naylor each homered in the game. Naylor was the only bright spot for the Guardians’ offense, as he went 2/4 with a homer.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are currently on a two-game winning streak, coming into today’s game with a record of 12-3. In the AL East, they lead the Orioles by 3.5 games, and New York has yet to lose a series this season (4-0). This will be the final game of their road trip, and they are currently 8-1 on the road this season.
So far, the Yankees have been the road favorite four times and have gone 3-1 in those games. They are also a perfect 5-0 as the underdog this season. At home, the Yankees have gone 4-2.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.9 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.3 runs per game. The Yankees have a run line record of 8-7 on the season, with a 6-3 record on the road and a 2-4 record at home. As the favorite, they are just 3-7 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are a perfect 5-0.
So far this season, the Yankees have played 14 games with an average of 8.1 runs scored per game. Their over/under record is 4-10, and their average over/under line is 9.0 runs per game. In the 5 games where the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 2-3.
Nestor Cortes gets the start for the Yankees today on the road against the Cleveland Guardians. He has been pitching well so far this season, going 8 innings in his first start, and then going 5 innings in his last outing. He took the loss in that game against the Diamondbacks, but he did strike out 8 batters.
If you’re looking for some Yankees player props to target, Aaron Judge is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits and home runs for the Yankees and in the entire league today. Giancarlo Stanton is also a strong option, as he has the 2nd highest home run projection on the team and the 3rd highest in the league. Gleyber Torres has the highest total hits projection on the team and is 12th in terms of total home runs in the league.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland’s Guardians are currently on a two-game losing streak, coming into today’s game vs. the Yankees. In the AL Central, they are a half-game behind the Royals for the division lead. So far, they have been good on the road, putting together a record of 7-2.
Looking at their overall record, the Guardians have gone 9-5, and they are a perfect 4-0 in series matchups this season. At home, they are just under .500 at 2-3. When favored to win, they are 5-4 this season compared to 4-1 as the underdog.
When the Cleveland Guardians win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.3 runs. Their run line record as an underdog is a perfect 5-0, and they have covered the run line in five straight games as the underdog.
Through 13 games, the Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 8-5. The average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs, and their combined run average is 8.4 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, they have a record of 2-2. So far, 71.4% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs.
Logan Allen has gotten off to a solid start to the season for the Guardians, picking up wins in his first two outings. He started the year with a win over the Athletics, going 5 innings and striking out 6. In his last start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up 4 hits and no runs. He did give up 5 runs in his first start of the year, but that was in just 4 innings of work.
For the Guardians, we have Steven Kwan as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His hits projection is 9th best in the league today. José Ramírez is 3rd on the team in terms of total hits, but he has the top home run projection for the Guardians and 7th best in the league. Josh Naylor is 2nd in terms of total hits for the Guardians and his home run projection is 10th best in the league.