San Francisco Giants vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 4/14/24

At 1:40 from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an interleague matchup between the Giants and Rays. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Giants are 6-9, while the Rays are 8-7. San Francisco is sending Blake Snell to the mound vs. Shawn Armstrong for the Rays.

The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Giants are the favorite on the money line at -125. This game can be seen on BSSUN.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline -125

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, April 14th.

HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS RAYS:

• We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Thanks to an 11-run 6th inning for the Giants’ offense, they cruised to an easy 11-2 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Giants were at -105 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Logan Webb for the Giants, and he went seven innings while giving up just one run and picked up a win. Ryan Pepiot got the start for the Rays and went five innings while giving up four runs and took the loss.

SF got a huge performance from Thairo Estrada, as he went 3/4 with two homers and three RBIs. Both LaMonte Wade Jr. and Matt Chapman each drove in two for the Giants’ offense.

Giants Records & Stats

The Giants are currently on the road and are looking to get back to an even record, as they are currently 6-9. In the NL West, they are 4th and have a four-game deficit, as they come into the day with a 4-6 record against divisional opponents.

So far, the Giants have been just below average both at home (3-3) and on the road (3-6). San Francisco finally picked up their first series win in their most recent matchup with the Rays. This came after going winless in three straight series.

San Francisco has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 7-8 overall. They’ve been even better on the run line on the road, going 6-3. They’ve covered the run line in four straight road games and have a run line scoring margin of -0.2 on the road. As an underdog, they are 6-3 on the run line.

San Francisco’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 9-6. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over is 5-2. So far this season, 53.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in five of those seven games.

Blake Snell is on the road for his second start of the season, and he’ll be facing his former team, the Tampa Bay Rays. In his first start of the season, Snell took the loss, going 3 innings and giving up 3 earned runs on 5 hits. He struck out 5 and didn’t allow a home run.

Our model is projecting a strong offensive performance from the Giants today, with Jorge Soler having the 9th highest total hits projection in today’s slate of games. Soler is also our 3rd highest projected player to hit a home run today. Thairo Estrada is another Giants player to keep an eye on, as his total hits projection is 3rd best in the league today. Matt Chapman has the 9th best home run projection in today’s games.

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays are currently in 3rd place in the AL East, as they are just half a game behind the Orioles for the 2nd place in the division. Right now, they are four games behind the Yankees, who lead the division.

So far, the Rays have gone 8-7, and they have won their most recent series, taking the series opener vs the Giants. This year, Tampa Bay is 4-5 at home and 4-2 on the road. They have also won two straight series and are 2-1 as the underdog this year.

The Rays have been a tough team to predict against the run line this season, as they have an overall run line record of 6-9. They have performed slightly better against the run line on the road, going 3-3, compared to 3-6 at home. When they are favored, they are just 6-8 against the run line, but they are 0-1 as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.6, while it is -5.7 in losing games.

When the Tampa Bay Rays play, the over/under line is typically set at 9 runs, but today’s line is 7.5 runs. The Rays’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 8-7. In games with a line of 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 2-1. So far, 80% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7.5-run total.

Shawn Armstrong will be making his first start of the season for the Rays, as he has been used out of the bullpen in his first three appearances. He has not factored into a decision yet, and his last outing was a 2-inning appearance against the Rockies, where he gave up one run on one hit. In his first outing of the season, he took the loss against the Blue Jays, giving up one run in one inning of work.

For the Rays, we have Yandy Díaz as the top projected hitter in terms of total hits, with his projection being 6th best in the league today. If you are looking for a Rays player to hit a home run, we have Isaac Paredes as the top projected player on the team, with his home run projection being 7th best in the league today. Jose Siri is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections, with his odds being 8th best in today’s slate.