The Knicks and Pacers are tied at two games apiece heading into game five of this Eastern Conference first-round series. Tip-off is at 8:00 PM ET from Madison Square Garden in New York, and you can watch the game on TNT. The Knicks are favored by 2.5 points and are -139 on the money line. The Pacers are +116, and the over/under line is sitting at 215.5 points.


The Pick: Indiana Pacers +2.5

This game will be played at Madison Square Garden at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, May 14th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-111 in favor of the Pacers.
  • Our projections have Pascal Siakam finishing with Pascal Siakam points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Pacers finishing with a field goal percentage of 51.6% and knocking down 13 threes.

The Pacers easily took care of the Knicks in the most recent game of this series, winning by a score of 121-89. Indiana was favored by six points heading into the game, and their 32-point win was more than enough to cover. The Pacers took control of the game early, outscoring the Knicks 34-14 in the first quarter. The game fell 9.5 points short of the over/under line of 219.5 points.

Indiana shot the ball very well in the win, making 56.8% of their shots and hitting 14 threes. Tyrese Haliburton led the Pacers with 20 points, and he also had five assists and six rebounds. Jalen Brunson had 18 points for the Knicks, and Alec Burks also scored 20.

Can Indiana Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

Indiana has won two straight games and is currently the 6th seed in the Eastern Conference with a record of 47-35. In the Central Division, they are in 3rd place.

The Pacers have gone 22-24 on the road this season and are 24-21 ATS on the road. As the underdog, they are 25-15 ATS on the road and 22-20 straight-up.

This season, Indiana has an O/U record of 49-43, and the under has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 241.6 points per game compared to today's line of 215.5.

Indiana's last game was also against the Knicks, and they won by a score of 121-89. The Pacers covered the spread as 6-point favorites, and the O/U line for that game was 219.5.

Overall, Indiana is 49-41 ATS this season, and they are 25-20 ATS at home and 24-21 ATS on the road. As the underdog, they are 25-15 ATS compared to 24-26 as the favorite.

Indiana comes into the game as the NBA's top-scoring team, at 123.3 points per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 119.8 points per contest. The Pacers are also near the top of the league in pace, averaging 101.2 possessions per game.

Tyrese Haliburton has been playing well for the Pacers of late, averaging 22.4 points per game in his last five games. In these games, he hit 51.2% of his shots from the field and 4.2 threes per game. For the season, Haliburton is averaging 10.9 assists per game. Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.7 points and 7.1 rebounds for the season.

So far this season, the Pacers' defense has been one of the worst in the NBA, ranking 27th in points per game allowed at 119.2. On the road, they have been even worse, giving up 121.2 points per contest (28th).

Indiana has done a good job of defending the three-point line, ranking 1st in three-point percentage allowed (36.6%). Opponents have also attempted the fewest threes per game vs. the Pacers (29.5).

In terms of rebounding, the Pacers have struggled, ranking 28th in rebounds per game and 28th in defensive rebounds per game. However, they have been able to block shots at a high rate (8th).

Will New York Come Through as Home Favorites?

The Knicks are favored by 2.5 points today and have gone 40-12 as the favorite this season. In their last two games, they have won as the favorite and are 30-21 ATS as the favorite at home and 50-41 overall.

At home this season, the Knicks are 31-15 and have won two straight games. Their scoring differential at home is +5.7 PPG. In the Eastern Conference standings, they are currently in 2nd place with a record of 50-32.

In their most recent game, the Knicks lost to the Pacers by a score of 121-89. The O/U line for that game was 219.5, and the Knicks were 6-point underdogs. New York's ATS record for the season is 24-22 at home and 26-19 on the road.

The Knicks have an O/U record of 42-49-1 this season, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today's O/U line is set at 215.5, which is lower than their season average of 221.1 points per game.

New York comes into the game as the NBA's lowest-scoring team in terms of pace, at 94.8 possessions per game. Overall, they are 19th in scoring at 112.8 points per game. The Knicks' scoring average at home is 111.5 points per contest, which is 23rd in the league. For the season, they are 9th in three-point shooting at 36%.

Jalen Brunson has been carrying the Knicks' offense of late, averaging 31.4 points per game over his last five games. This has come while hitting 47.4% of his shots from the field. Overall, he is averaging 28.7 points per game. Bojan Bogdanovic, OG Anunoby, and Julius Randle are all out with injuries. Randle is averaging 24 points and 9.2 rebounds this season.

Coming into tonight's game, the Knicks are ranked 5th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 108.6. Over their last five games, they have struggled a bit on the defensive end, allowing 117 points per game.

One area where New York has been solid all season is defending the three-point line, as they are 11th in the league in three-point percentage allowed at 36.5%. On the year, opponents have made just 12.6 threes per game vs. the Knicks.

Overall, opposing teams have scored less than their season average in 79.3% of games vs. New York. In terms of rebounds, the Knicks are 5th in the NBA at 45.2 per game, but just 21st in defensive rebounds.